Wednesday, 4 March 2015

Davis Cup Outright Picks and Day 1 Picks 2015 (March 6th)

It has been a very good start to the tennis season for the picks, but I decided to take a few days off along with the ATP Tour, especially as the two WTA events are not exactly loaded with the top talent. With Indian Wells and Miami the two big events that will take over the rest of the month, it was no surprise that the top WTA players have decided to focus their efforts on those events, while the ATP scheduling leaves this as a week for the World Group in the Davis Cup to begin.

The Davis Cup proved to be a productive tournament for me last season having picked Switzerland to win the event at this stage of the competition, mainly thanks to both Roger Federer and Stan Wawrinka making it clear they would be playing. Twelve months makes a huge difference though and neither player will be part of the defending Champions four player team this week and Switzerland won't have Federer for the rest of the year either which makes it difficult to see them winning 12/20 rubbers to take the title home for a second successive year.

Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray, Kei Nishikori, Milos Raonic are the four members of the top 10 in the World Rankings that will be representing their nations this week as the latter two actually will meet one another in the Japan-Canada tie. Djokovic's presence for Serbia has made that nation the favourite to win the Davis Cup that they took home in 2010, and they do seem to have the back up in Victor Troicki and Doubles skills of Nenad Zimonjic to go very far in the tournament.

However, the Davis Cup ties have been placed in awkward spots to really rely on Djokovic's presence  with the Quarter Finals played days after Wimbledon comes to an end and the Semi Finals are just days after the conclusion of the US Open. Novak Djokovic has made those trips in the past though and Serbia do seem to be in the weaker half of the draw and are right to be considered favourites.

I will have a small interest in them to win the event, especially if Djokovic is available through the rest of the year, but that uncertainty also means I want to limit my stake.

The other half of the World Group draw has a number of teams that could perhaps go all the way with France being considered the most likely. There is little doubt that the French team has the best depth, but they don't have a stand-out player that you would really believe could win two rubbers in every tie and that does leave them a little short in the market for me.

France have had a strong team for the last few years, but they haven't won the Davis Cup since 2001 and the draw could have been more straight-forward for them.

The most dangerous team for France in the top half of the draw could be the Australian one containing some youthful exuberance coupled with veteran experience. There have been a few people talking up Australia's chances to win their first Davis Cup title since 2003 and I have to agree with those suggestions when you look at the draw.

Facing a Czech Republic team missing Tomas Berdych and Radek Stepanek gives Australia a great chance to move into the Quarter Finals where they would be expected to be Italy, especially as the tie would be played at home. That could be the key to the Semi Final too as long as Great Britain don't manage to get through to that Round and the Australians will feel this is the chance to really give Lleyton Hewitt the perfect sending off with retirement looming in January 2016.

Hewitt is going to take over as Captain of the Davis Cup team after that point too so this is a chance for his current team-mates to really earn some favour with him too and Australia do look a big price to go all the way.

Any picks from the first day of the Davis Cup ties will be placed on this thread either on Thursday or Friday as long as there is some picks worth making once the layers put their markets up.

MY OUTRIGHT PICKS: Serbia @ 3.00 Ladbrokes (2 Units)
Australia @ 17.00 Boyle Sports (1 Unit E/W)

Davis Cup Day One Picks:

February 23-March 1 Daily Picks Final15-7, + 13.98 Units (44 Units Staked, + 31.77% Yield)

Season 2015+ 42.17 Units (309 Units Staked, + 13.65% Yield)

Season 2014+ 45.05 Units (1586.5 Units Staked, + 2.84% Yield)
Season 2013+ 21.74 Units (1251.5 Units Staked, + 1.73% Yield)
Season 2012+ 49.21 Units (855 Units Staked, + 5.76% Yield)
Season 2011+ 82.02 Units

Tuesday, 3 March 2015

Midweek Football Picks 2015 (March 3-4)

Another full round of Premier League fixtures takes place during the week and the battle at the top and bottom of the League table is definitely building up. The next few weeks will give us a clearer picture of what is going to happen to teams and their goals for the season.

Aston Villa v West Brom Pick: The live game on Tuesday is a relegation battle between two Midlands rivals that are merely four miles apart on a map. Unfortunately for Aston Villa, there are more than a few points between themselves and West Brom and the pressure is building on a side that has flirted with relegation for a few seasons.

The appointment of Tim Sherwood is not one that overly appeals to me and I am not sure the Aston Villa fans should be feeling really confident that he will be able to turn around their fortunes. One saving grace is that there are some weak teams in the Premier League and Aston Villa are not cut off in the bottom three just yet, but this is a team that has lost seven in a row in the Premier League and continue to find scoring goals a problem.

That won't be any easier against a Tony Pulis inspired West Brom team who have only lost once since the former Stoke City and Crystal Palace manager arrived at The Hawthornes. Their success has been built on strong defensive performances and West Brom have kept three clean sheets in a row in the League, while also doing that in 2 of their last 3 away League games.

I can't imagine there will be a lot of goals in this game, and it will be tense and tight throughout the evening. One goal could very easily settle this, but a small interest in there being 'No Goalscorer' in the first goalscorer market could pay off, especially as it would still pay out if an own goal settles a game that could easily be goalless.

Hull City v Sunderland Pick: The Adam Johnson situation is as baffling as it is worrying that someone could get themselves in that alleged situation when they are in the public limelight. Of course, the amount of 'stars' from the 1970's who have proved to have done the same thing suggests it should not be a surprise.

It must have really messed up the Sunderland preparation for this big game at Hull City and I think the home team can definitely edge their way to three valuable points. A win for Hull would see the team move 7 points clear of the bottom three regardless of what happens in the Aston Villa home game against West Brom and their decision to stick with Steve Bruce looks like it will pay off.

Gus Poyet doesn't seem to enjoy the same relationship with his board at Sunderland and the Black Cats have lost 3 of their last 4 away games in the Premier League. However, they did catch a break by having both Wes Brown and John O'Shea available for this game despite the fact that the latter should have been sent off at Old Trafford on Saturday and the former's red card from that game was rescinded.

It will still be a big ask for Sunderland to contain Hull City through this game considering the Tigers have won 3 of their last 4 at home in the Premier League. Hull City also beat Sunderland twice at the KC Stadium last season and I am looking for them to make it a hat-trick with a small interest in Hull earning a narrow win.

Manchester City v Leicester City Pick: The defeat at Anfield means Manchester City are in a very difficult spot when it comes to retaining their Premier League title and really need Chelsea to start slipping up when it doesn't look like the Blues are going to do so. The next month is vital for Manchester City as they are likely to go out of the Champions League in the Last 16, but do have 4 Premier League games against teams in the bottom half of the table and have to find a way to keep the pressure on Chelsea.

Manuel Pellegrini has been criticised for the tactics he has employed in the losses against Barcelona and Liverpool, but it would be a big surprise if the manager decides to take a step back in game like this. With the likes of Yaya Toure, David Silva, Samir Nasri and Sergio Aguero all on the field, it isn't a big surprise that Manchester City create plenty of chances, but they have failed to find the right balance to protect the back four.

Vincent Kompany hasn't looked right for much of this season and Leicester City may feel they can get some joy going forward. However, this is a team that concedes too many goals on their travels to expect them to surprise Manchester City and it could be a long evening for Nigel Pearson's men.

I still believe Leicester City can somehow get out of their current position, but I don't think that charge up the table will begin on Wednesday at the Etihad Stadium. They have conceded at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 away games in all competitions and the worry for Leicester City has to be that they have conceded at least 2 first half goals at Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester United over the last couple of months.

Giving this Manchester City team that kind of lead will not bode well for them, even if the form at the Etihad Stadium has not been as effective as Pellegrini or the fans would have been hoping. Leicester City also have to be careful to know that Manchester City had scored 9 goals in their last 2 Premier League games before the defeats against Barcelona and Liverpool.

The layers are offering odds against that Manchester City will score at least three goals in this one and I do think that is worth backing as they look to bounce back from Sunday's big title blow.

Newcastle United v Manchester United Pick: The next few weeks are going to be vital for Manchester United to try and secure their place in the top four of the Premier League, but they can't afford to begin this tough stretch of games by dropping points at Newcastle United. That isn't to say visiting St James' Park is an easy game for any team as Chelsea have found out already this season when defeated here, but Newcastle United haven't been in the best form of late even if they did beat Aston Villa here 1-0 last weekend.

The Magpies have conceded plenty of home goals in recent weeks before facing Aston Villa who can make any defence look watertight with their struggles in front of goal. However, Aston Villa did create chances in that game and Manchester United are unlikely to be as generous if the chances come their way.

That isn't to say Manchester United will be creating a host of chances in this game with the way they have been performing, especially away from home where they have struggled to turn draws into wins. The loss at Swansea had been coming, although the irony isn't lost on me that Manchester United arguably played better in that game than they have in other games when they have avoided a loss.

There was one trend that continues to come in and that is Manchester United starting slowly and perhaps improving as the game goes on. It is now 8 of their last 9 away games where the teams have gone in level at half time and Manchester United have gone on to win 3 of those games.

Manchester United had to wait to break the deadlock against Sunderland in the second half too and I can see Newcastle United looking to keep things tight in this one for as long as possible. John Carver has set Newcastle United up to be a counter-attacking team so the first half could be a feeling out process for both teams and the second half is perhaps when more space will open up as tired legs and minds set in.

This is a ground where Manchester United have had success in recent years and that might be enough to give them the edge in this one, at least from a mental standpoint. They aren't a team that can be trusted fully to convert draws into wins as they have shown all season, but Manchester United might have enough to overcome an injury hit Newcastle United team, although it potentially won't happen until after the break as has been the case for much of their away games this season.

Backing this game to be a draw at half time before Manchester United go on to win for a small interest is much more appealing than simply backing Louis Van Gaal's troops to win in my opinion.

Tottenham Hotspur v Swansea Pick: It has been a difficult few weeks for Mauricio Pochettino and Tottenham Hotspur and all the positives of the North London derby have been used up with silverware not in their immediate future. Some of the fans would have been hoping that win over Arsenal could have sparked a real challenge for a top four berth which looked open at that time, but failure to win any of their last 2 League games coupled with the teams above them putting results together leaves Spurs in a precarious position.

To put it bluntly, Tottenham Hotspur have to win both Premier League games they play this week to make sure their trip to Old Trafford in ten days time can have a real meaning. It will be an important game anyway, but Spurs need some momentum behind them heading to Manchester United and beating Swansea and Queens Park Rangers will at least give them something to base success upon.

It would be harsh to suggest Tottenham Hotspur deserved to lose their last two games at Fiorentina and then against Chelsea in the League Cup Final, although in the latter they did lack a forward cutting edge. Harry Kane was well marshalled in that game at Wembley Stadium, but Swansea may be the team that ends up paying for that.

Spurs can't underestimate Swansea considering this team have beaten both Southampton and Manchester United over the last few weeks, the former away from home. However, Tottenham have had the 'Indian Sign' over Swansea in their recent meetings and this set of players know they can beat their visitors who have lost 6 in a row against Spurs in the Premier League.

I expect Garry Monk will accept Tottenham Hotspur having the majority of the ball and will look to his Swansea team to defend effectively and counter as they did at Southampton. However, I do think the Saints had created chances in that game but are a team lacking in confidence in front of goal, while Tottenham Hotspur can look for Harry Kane or Christian Eriksen to produce something special.

Swansea will know about both of those players as they scored one each at the Liberty Stadium and I do think Tottenham Hotspur can extend their good run against this team. They have to be clinical in front of goal when the chances come and I do believe Tottenham will have the majority of play and remain unconvinced that Swansea are the same side without Wilfried Bony leading the line.

West Ham United v Chelsea Pick: Sam Allardyce has had an extra day to get his West Ham United team ready for this game, but he has to be hoping that time has also lessened some of the anger the fans displayed at the end of the loss to Crystal Palace. The visit of Chelsea should get the atmosphere fired up at Upton Park, but the pressure will be on the West Ham United players to maintain that atmosphere as any early away goal could see the level of toxicity rise from the stands.

The fans have never really seen eye to eye with Allardyce and it seems the board are perhaps looking to move away from a manager that is as divisive as marmite. Unfortunately for Allardyce, it does seem there is far more 'hate' than 'love' for him at Upton Park and it might be best for all parties if his contract is not renewed at the end of the season.

Recent weeks have been particularly tough for West Ham United as they were stunningly dropped out of the FA Cup with a 4-0 defeat at West Brom and the 1-3 home loss to Crystal Palace was another really disappointing loss. There are suggestions that this is a team that could very quickly drop down the Premier League table, although they have enough points on the board to avoid a relegation battle at least.

Against this backdrop, Allardyce has to prepare his players to face a Chelsea team that has won the first trophy of the season and have to be boosted by Manchester City slipping up yet again. Jose Mourinho will insist that Chelsea don't take anything for granted and keep the peddle to the mettle and try and improve their position in the Premier League table.

There are goals in the Chelsea team that should see them prove too strong for West Ham United, but I don't think it will be straight forward for them. I am expecting the away team to perhaps take advantage of the problems that West Ham United seem to be working through, but Chelsea haven't been as good away from Stamford Bridge.

West Ham should create chances and Chelsea have kept one clean sheet in their last 4 away games in the League and just 1 in 6 in all competitions. With the expectation that Chelsea do find a way to win this game, backing them to do so in a game where both teams score looks to be a big price.

Liverpool v Burnley Pick: I have been making the point for a few weeks that Liverpool have been a much improved team that have created plenty of chances and they have shown how far they have come with their 2-1 win over Manchester City on Sunday. There are still some problems defensively that need to be rectified, but I think that win over City makes Liverpool the favourites to overturn Manchester United in the race for the Champions League positions.

Of course that would all change if Liverpool were to fail to beat Burnley on Wednesday, but the Reds have won 4 in a row at Anfield in all competitions and have begun to score plenty of goals to change the draws they were having in three points. It will be tough for Burnley to keep Liverpool at bay in this one when you consider they had conceded at least two goals in 7 consecutive away games before the 1-1 draw at Chelsea in their most recent game on their travels.

On another day, Burnley would have conceded at least a penalty and perhaps had a player sent off in that game at Chelsea and they would have been comfortably beaten. They had lost 3 consecutive away games in all competitions by at least two goals per game before the draw at Stamford Bridge and I think Burnley will do very well to avoid that fate at Anfield.

Liverpool have been attacking with real menace and they look a team that is capable of putting someone to the sword having had three homes wins in a row come by a single goal margin. If the home side produce anything close to the attacking performances they have in recent weeks, Burnley will do well to keep this competitive and I think Liverpool should be backed to win this one by a couple of goals.

MY PICKS: Aston Villa-West Brom No Goalscorer (First Goalscorer) @ 7.00 William Hill (1 Unit)
Hull City @ 2.30 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
Manchester City Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Draw HT-Manchester United FT @ 5.00 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
Tottenham Hotspur @ 1.75 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Both Teams to Score and Chelsea to Win @ 3.60 Coral (1 Unit)
Liverpool - 1.5 Asian Handicap @ 2.10 Bet365 (2 Units)

February Final20-24-2, + 3.19 Units (75 Units Staked, + 4.25% Yield)
January Final10-22-1, - 10.54 Units (57 Units Staked, - 18.49% Yield)
December Final25-19-1, + 18.70 Units (81 Units Staked, + 23.09% Yield)
November Final17-21, - 0.59 Units (69 Units Staked, - 1% Yield)
October Final8-18, - 14.79 Units (47 Units Staked, - 31.47% Yield)
September Final12-18, - 2.28 Units (41 Units Staked, - 5.56% Yield)
August Final8-22, - 19.92 Units (51 Units Staked, - 39.06% Yield)

Season 2014/15100-144-4, - 26.23 Units (421 Units Staked, - 6.23% Yield)
Season 2013/14164-185-3, + 15.84 Units (577 Units Staked, + 2.75% Yield)
Season 2012/13+ 4.42 Units (415 Units Staked, + 1.07% Yield)

Monday, 2 March 2015

NBA Picks March 2015

The All-Star Game has come and gone, the trade deadline is behind us and teams will have begun to turn their attention towards the Play Offs which will begin next month.

Aside from the Atlanta Hawks who will need to on a terrible run to relinquish the Number 1 Seed in the Eastern Conference, the Seedings in both the Western and Eastern Conference are going to be up for grabs. It should make it a fun six weeks as that all gets sorted out in the wash and this is a time when I am expecting to see teams really try and build some momentum to take into the post-season.

One sad bit of news over the last month was the passing of Anthony Mason, the New York Knicks' 1995 Sixth Man of the Year. At 48, Mason suffered a major heart attack and condolences have to be given to his friends and family because that really is no age to pass on.

Monday 2nd March
LA Clippers @ Minnesota Timberwolves Pick: The LA Clippers are going to finish off a tough four game road trip with this one at the Minnesota Timberwolves in a building where they are 10-1 against the spread in their last 11 visits.

There are a couple of concerns, for example the Clippers are coming off a really difficult three game stretch where they had to play Houston, Memphis and Chicago and they might ease off against 'just the Timberwolves'. The Clippers have also had a difficult time in back to back nights play, going 5-9 against the spread in the second of those, although they have at least have had a few more hours to recover from the win in Chicago.

However, Doc Rivers is finally getting what he wants from this team from a Defensive standpoint as the Clippers are holding teams to 92 points per game over their last five games. DeAndre Jordan has also been dominating the boards and could have a clearer path to do that if Nikola Pekovic misses out for Minnesota and that means second point chances for the road team.

Minnesota deserve respect for the way they have been competing despite being out of the Play Off picture in the Western Conference, but I do like the Clippers to end their road trip with another positive win.

Tuesday 3rd March
Houston Rockets @ Atlanta Hawks Pick: James Harden may have outplayed LeBron James to help the Houston Rockets overcome the Cleveland Cavaliers, but he has been suspended for this game having kicked James during that win. The absence of Harden and Dwight Howard is going to show off the depth that the Rockets have, but it will be a tough ask for them at the Atlanta Hawks who are 11-2 against the spread at home when playing a team with a winning record.

The Hawks showed off their own depth after resting a number of players in the win over the Miami Heat, but the likes of Jeff Teague, Al Horford and DeMarre Carroll all expected to return for this game. Atlanta can look for another statement home win before they face the Cleveland Cavaliers later this week, while it will be interesting to see the approach Houston have without their star player and knowing they face the Memphis Grizzlies tomorrow.

That is the bigger game for the Rockets and it may help in giving Atlanta the edge as they have a few days rest before the Cleveland game. Houston are also 1-5 against the spread trying to revenge a home loss and I think the absence of Harden gives the Rockets a big problem in trying to break down an Atlanta Defense allowing just 91 points per game in their last five games.

Wednesday 4th March
Utah Jazz @ Boston Celtics Pick: The Boston Celtics took a big blow to their Play Off aspirations with a blow out defeat at the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday. The Celtics aren't out of the picture in the Eastern Conference, but they have to quickly pick themselves up from that heavy loss and show that they have the ability to finish in the top eight in this Conference.

They are facing a Utah Jazz team that could reach a season high four wins in a row and are coming in off a surprisingly dominant victory over the Memphis Grizzlies. Confidence will be high in the Utah camp, but I feel they could have really put in a lot of effort into beating Memphis and I am not sure that same effort will be there against a non-Conference foe who have a losing record.

Brad Stevans is expecting a response from his Celtics team and they should be well-rested having been blown out last night. Boston have responded by going 8-2 against the spread in back to back nights play earlier this season, but they can't overlook Utah and should be focused in front of their own fans.

The Celtics have a 4-0-1 record against the spread in their last 5 home games against Utah and I think they can cover the small point spread at home in this one, especially if they can reproduce much of what they did against the Golden State Warriors in their last game at the TD Garden.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Toronto Raptors Pick: The Number 1 Seed in the Eastern Conference is very much under the control of the Atlanta Hawks, but the Cleveland Cavaliers are the hot team in the Conference that will feel they can at least earn the Number 2 Seed.

LeBron James has said he doesn't care where Cleveland finish in the eight places in the Play Offs, but it would be silly for anyone to think the Cavaliers don't want the 'easier' First Round series. The top two Seeds will likely play teams with losing records and Cleveland can win in Toronto to move above the Raptors.

Kyle Lowry is missing, while the Cleveland team is back to full health and well rested having demolished the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Toronto do have players like DeMar DeRozan and Lou Williams who can get extremely hot, but the Cavaliers have really put in a big effort Defensively and should have their way on the other side of the court.

Cleveland haven't been at their best on back to back nights play, but the rest means they have no excuses tonight. The Cavaliers have also been better against the top teams in the NBA, going 5-2 against the spread against teams with winning records in the second half of the season compared to their early 7-12 record against the spread in those games.

I expect Cleveland to have enough Offense to keep ahead of Toronto who may have a harder time scoring against an improving Defensive shape the Cavaliers are running.

MY PICKS: 02/03 LA Clippers - 5 Points @ 1.92 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
03/03 Atlanta Hawks - 8 Points @ 1.92 Paddy Power (1 Unit)
04/03 Boston Celtics - 1 Point @ 1.95 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
04/03 Cleveland Cavaliers - 4.5 Points @ 1.92 William Hill (1 Unit)

March Update: 0-0-2, 0 Units

February Final11-16-1, - 5.70 Units
January Final18-10, + 6.67 Units
December Final3-6, - 3.31 Units
November Final14-11, + 1.70 Units
October Final2-4, - 2 Units
Season 201548-47, - 2.63 Units

Final Season 201458-72-1, - 16.86 Units
Final Season 2013105-93-3, + 10.49 Units
Final Season 201279-53-1, + 27.48 Units

Friday, 27 February 2015

Tennis Picks 2015 (February 27th)

It was a disappointing Thursday with Petra Kvitova's collapse and Victor Troicki losing his way mentally the biggest reasons for the poor day in the office. It is still a positive week for now, but hopefully that can be built upon in the remaining days of this week's tournaments.

Roger Federer - 5.5 games v Borna Coric: I have a lot of respect for the knowledge of a few statistical tennis fans that I have a relationship with on Twitter and they seem to be on the same page when it comes to the ability of Borna Coric and what he can achieve on the Tour. Coric is the young face of tennis that has already beaten Rafael Nadal before dismissing Andy Murray for the loss of four games in the Quarter Final here, but now faces Roger Federer who has won the title in Dubai on six previous occasions.

There is a lot of talent in the Coric racquet and I do tend to agree with the likes of those Twitter accounts I have spoken about that this Croatian should be reaching the top 10 in the World Rankings and perhaps a lot higher as long as he can stay healthy.

I expect Coric to be inspired coming up against Federer, but I would be very surprised if the 17 time Grand Slam winner offers so many unforced errors as Andy Murray did on Thursday. The aggression of Federer's game should give him a better footing in rallies and I do think this is more likely to go the way Coric's match with Stan Wawrinka did in Chennai rather than his wins over Murray and Nadal.

Federer will need to serve well to keep the pressure on is younger opponent and I think he will create more chances on the serve than Murray with the added aggression on return setting him up. It won't always be comfortable, but Federer can work his way through to a 64, 62 win.

Novak Djokovic - 5.5 games v Tomas Berdych: The last two times that Novak Djokovic has faced Tomas Berdych, the World Number 1 has dominated to the extent that he has won all four sets and he hasn't lost more than two games in any of those sets.

The layers are taking no chances with Djokovic in this one and he is being asked to cover a big number, but I do think he loves the conditions in Dubai and will have the edge in this one. On the other hand, Berdych has played well here in the past too, but I do wonder about his confidence having been destroyed by Djokovic the last two times they have met.

Djokovic has served well in the last two matches against Berdych and that will be a key again if he is to cover a big handicap because I do think he will create chances to break serve as the best returner on the Tour at the moment.

I can see a situation where Berdych perhaps loses some heart if the first set doesn't go his way and that should give Djokovic a chance to run away with the match in a 75, 62 win.

Lucie Safarova - 3.5 games v Carla Suarez Navarro: I won't lie- Carla Suarez Navarro has been something of a scourge to me over the last couple of weeks with some stunning wins, although I have also been on the right side of backing/opposing the Spaniard. She is a very solid player, but doesn't really have the big weapons to fully trust in matches, but Suarez Navarro is one of the form players on the WTA Tour at the moment.

However, she is going up against another form player in Lucie Safarova who has been in sparking form over the last couple of weeks and perhaps has been unfortunate not to have had back to back Semi Final appearances. Safarova has been very good this week, although Suarez Navarro will at least have an idea as to how the lefty serve will work after dismissing Petra Kvitova so easily on Thursday following the first set.

It might be weird to read, but I don't think Safarova is as up and down as Kvitova even if the latter has the much higher ceiling. Her consistency should give her a good chance to get through Suarez Navarro as the serve should definitely give the edge to the Czech player as long as she keeps her cool in tough situations.

I do think Safarova will have success against the Suarez Navarro serve and can battle her way through to a 64, 64 win and a place in the Final.

Venus Williams + 3.5 games v Victoria Azarenka: When you look at the results of these two players over the last few days, you can understand why Victoria Azarenka is a big favourite to beat Venus Williams in the second Semi Final in Doha.

However, I am leaning towards taking the games in this one because Williams is the best server that Azarenka will have faced this week and I am not convinced the former World Number 1 is totally secure in that aspect of her own game.

I do think Venus Williams will find a way to break serve a few times in this one, although I am convinced Victoria Azarenka will have plenty of returning success too. That should lead to a tight match that has the potential to go to three sets and Williams also has the mental edge having never lost to Azarenka in the past, including a 76, 64 win in Cincinnati last summer.

Expect to see a lot of twists and turns in this Semi Final, but I do think the games being given to Venus Williams could be too many in what I would have considered to be closer to a pick 'em kind of match.

Nicolas Almagro - 2.5 games v Tommy Robredo: Aside from that stunning five set win for Tommy Robredo over Nicolas Almagro at the French Open a couple of years ago, Nicolas Almagro has dominated the matches against his compatriot. Even that French Open win for Robredo came after he was 2-0 down in sets and I expect Almagro to frank the form that saw him beat Robredo in Sao Paulo a couple of weeks ago.

Almagro has come back to the Tour after a long-term injury and must be enjoying finding his rhythm back on the clay courts and he has played well during this Golden Swing in South America. Losing twice to in-form Pablo Cuevas is not a poor reflection on Almagro and I think he will prove a little too good for Robredo.

You can see why they have a head to head skewed in favour of Almagro- his serve offers up cheaper points and mentally it can be tough to continue trying to win the long, drawn out rallies that Robredo generally has to. I also think the Robredo second serve is something of a weakness and allows Almagro to take control of those rallies and eventually wear down Robredo.

It will never be an easy match against Robredo, but I do think Almagro is going to come through with a 64, 76 win.

Rafael Nadal - 5.5 games v Federico Delbonis: Rafael Nadal hasn't looked himself so far in the 2015 season, but I think he should still be too strong for Federico Delbonis who can mentally lose his way in matches.

I also do wonder if the Argentinian has the physicality to keep up with Nadal who will look to extend rallies and has generally gotten better when in his second tournament back on the clay courts. A disappointing Semi Final loss last week to Fabio Fognini was a stunning result for Nadal, but I think he doesn't dwell on these moments for too long and has the ability to wear down Delbonis in this Quarter Final.

The home crowd should keep Delbonis very interested in the match throughout, but they can't come out and play the long, gruelling rallies for him and that is where I expect Nadal to take over. A lot of players do struggle with the physical side when they are up against the Spaniard and that was something I noticed with Delbonis despite going to three sets against Fabio Fognini himself last week.

The first set should be very competitive in this one, but Nadal can then take control and put together a 64, 62 win and move through to the Semi Final.

Maria Sharapova - 5.5 games v Carolina Garcia: Dismiss what the bagel set told you, the first time Maria Sharapova and Carolina Garcia met back at the French Open in 2011, it was a highly competitive match as the young Frenchwoman declared her potential.

I don't think it is too harsh to say that Garcia has yet to really fulfil that potential, nor the prediction that she was a future World Number 1 as described by Andy Murray. Garcia has also been dismissed in two matches against Sharapova since then, although they are playing one another for the first time since Brisbane in January 2014.

The windy conditions in Acapulco won't suit Sharapova's service action, which can be erratic at the best of times, but she has dealt with it well enough in reaching the Semi Final. There have been some tough moments for the Russian to get through, but she has dealt with them well enough and I think Sharapova will have too much in the locker for Garcia.

The last two matches between the players have been very one-sided, but Garcia is an improving player and this could end up in a 75, 62 win for Sharapova once she disheartens her younger opponent.

MY PICKS: Roger Federer - 5.5 Games @ 1.83 Sky Bet (2 Units)
Novak Djokovic - 5.5 Games @ 2.10 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Lucie Safarova - 3.5 Games @ 2.00 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Venus Williams + 3.5 Games @ 1.95 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Nicolas Almagro - 2.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)
Rafael Nadal - 5.5 Games @ 2.00 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Maria Sharapova - 5.5 Games @ 1.90 Bet Victor (2 Units)

Weekly Update: 9-7, + 2.62 Units (32 Units Staked, + 8.19% Yield)

Thursday, 26 February 2015

Tennis Picks 2015 (February 26th)

Petra Kvitova - 3.5 games v Carla Suarez Navarro: Carla Suarez Navarro may feel she has the kryptonite to stop the Petra Kvitova game having won their last two matches including in Dubai last week, but I am backing the higher Ranked player to earn a measure of revenge in this one.

The Quarter Final between them in Doha should be a fascinating match between the big-hitting Petra Kvitova and the counter-punching skills that Carla Suarez Navarro can produce. You would expect Kvitova to have more success on the return of serve than she has had in the last couple of matches against Suarez Navarro, and this has all the makings of a tight game.

That might make this number of games look attractive that the Spaniard is getting, but Kvitova has the capability of putting together a strong run of games to move clear of her opponent. She has to put the last couple of losses to the back of her mind and mentally stay in the moment, but I do like Kvitova to do that and force breaks of serve and get ahead of Suarez Navarro in this one.

There is every chance this match goes three sets, but I think Kvitova can come through with a 62, 46, 64 victory.

Andrea Petkovic + 3.5 games v Lucie Safarova: These two players are both in very good form as Andrea Petkovic recently won the tournament in Antwerp, while Lucie Safarova was a Quarter Finalist in Dubai last week and has reached that stage again in Doha.

Safarova will be hoping that Petkovic is perhaps feeling some of the three set matches she has had to play in her legs coming into the Quarter Final, but matches between these players have been close in the past. Lucie Safarova has the bigger serve that will give her an edge in that department, but Petkovic can dig deep and find her way back into matches that are seemingly slipping away.

I am expecting another competitive match between these players that can potentially go all the way to a third set and I do think the games being given to Petkovic look a touch on the high side. It might be a game too high, although I also think the German has every chance of winning this match outright considering she has won 4 of their last 5 matches.

Fabio Fognini - 2.5 games v Carlos Berlocq: Fabio Fognini is off a very successful week in Rio De Janeiro and I do think he can back that up with a win over Carlos Berlocq as long as he deals with the crowd that is going to be firmly behind the Argentinian.

Fognini does have previous in allowing outside factors to dictate the way he approaches the game, but I think this is a match up that should suit him. There will be a lot of long rallies and Fognini should have the better consistency when it comes to shots that actually shift him into a stronger position in those rallies than Berlocq.

The Italian will also have to deal with Berlocq who seems to be a player that can get under the skin of opponents with his loud grunting which is a rarity on the ATP Tour compared with the WTA Tour. Berlocq is also very comfortable on the clay courts with his best results coming on this surface.

However, Berlocq has a surprisingly poor record in the event held in Buenos Aires and I think Fognini can battle through to a 75, 64 win.

Nicolas Almagro - 3.5 games v Albert Ramos-Vinolas: Two compatriots meet in the Second Round and I think Nicolas Almagro can take another positive step since his return to the ATP Tour by beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas in this Second Round match.

Almagro has played some decent tennis on his return since missing the remainder of the 2014 season after retiring at the French Open and losing to Pablo Cuevas in the last couple of events during the Golden Swing is not exactly a disappointing result. Almagro was close to winning at least one of those matches against the in-form Cuevas, while wins over Tommy Robredo and Pablo Andujar are indicators that Almagro is on the way back.

This won't be an easy match against Albert Ramos-Vinolas who has been very comfortable on the clay courts and whose lefty serve can be a problem to deal with.

However, I think the heavier shots will come from the Almagro side of the court and his serve should pay dividends in this one and I like him to battle his way to a 64, 64 win.

Victor Troicki + 2.5 games v Kevin Anderson: There isn't much between these two players according to the layers and I do think it has the potential to be a close match, but one I am expecting Victor Troicki to come through and reach the Semi Final in Acapulco.

Kevin Anderson had to dig very deep to see off Steve Johnson yesterday and he won't have a lot of time to get ready for this game compared with Victor Troicki who was a much more comfortable winner over Santiago Giraldo.

Both players have a decent serve that will set up some points, but I think Anderson has just been having a few more issues with his game over the last week and Troicki can take advantage. The Serb can be a little hard to trust fully despite the indication he is motivated to right what he feels as being the wrongs of his ban from the Tour last year.

However, I will take the games being offered to Troicki because I do think he can win the match outright, but also covers a tight match that could easily go deep into a third set.

MY PICKS: Petra Kvitova - 3.5 Games @ 1.92 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Andrea Petkovic + 3.5 Games @ 2.00 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Fabio Fognini - 2.5 Games @ 1.92 Bet Fred (2 Units)
Nicolas Almagro - 3.5 Games @ 1.73 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Victor Troicki + 2.5 Games @ 1.80 Bet365 (2 Units)

Weekly Update: 8-3, + 9.16 Units (22 Units Staked, + 41.64% Yield)

Wednesday, 25 February 2015

Tennis Picks 2015 (February 25th)

The tournaments on Wednesday are structured in such a way that the markets are not ready for the matches in Dubai, while I am not convinced of anything in Doha for the matches that have been set.

With the events in Acapulco and Buenos Aires behind in terms of a time zone compared with the United Kingdom, it does mean that I will put up my tennis picks from Dubai first thing in the morning and then follow picks from the other tournaments, if I have any, around lunch time.

After looking through the matches that were being played, I was tempted to make picks from a couple of matches in Dubai and Doha, but decided against it because I wasn't totally convinced. Sometimes it is better to take a step back and keep the powder clean instead of backing a match that you just don't totally believe in and that was the case from the earlier tournaments.

Even the later events have some tempting matches that I could see the other side of the coin so I decided against those too and the only picks I have come from a couple of matches scheduled in Acapulco.

Kevin Anderson - 3.5 games v Steve Johnson: This is the fifth time Kevin Anderson and Steve Johnson have met on the main Tour since the beginning of last season and it is the South African who has got the better of the previous four matches. After losing their first match, Anderson has won three in a row which includes two wins in 2015 and I think he will be too strong for Johnson again.

A quick look at their last three matches shows that Anderson does get a lot more joy against the Johnson serve and as long as he can fight through the rare moments of being under pressure on serve, he should be a comfortable winner. The Johnson second serve is one that can be attacked, while scoreboard pressure keeps the American under a mental cloud where he knows the importance of losing serve and how that will affect his chances of getting back into the match.

The conditions haven't been great in Acapulco with a lot of wind in the area, but I think the Anderson serve will offer up more cheap points of the two and that can prove to be the key to a 64 64 win for the big South African.

Caroline Garcia - 3.5 games v Bethanie Mattek-Sands: I personally don't think Caroline Garcia will ever fulfil the Andy Murray prediction of becoming the Number 1 player in the World Rankings, but she has the ability to reach the top 10 and from there who knows?

The inconsistencies in her game have prevented Garcia from really moving higher up the Rankings than her current position of 30, while matches against the likes of Bethanie Mattek-Sands have to be won if she is to really fulfil her potential.

That is not disrespecting Mattek-Sands who is a gritty competitor, but the American just doesn't really have the quality to match up against the best players on the Tour. There are times she can put it all together and have a deep run in a tournament, but the scheduling to move from the clay courts to the hard courts doesn't make much sense to me.

It is interesting to note that a little under twelve months ago would have seen Mattek-Sands a big favourite in this match up, but Garcia saw her off at Indian Wells and I expect her recent form to back that up. It might even be a similar score with a 75, 63 win for Garcia in this Second Round match.

MY PICKS: Kevin Anderson - 3.5 Games @ 2.00 Bet365 (2 Units)
Caroline Garcia - 3.5 Games @ 1,92 Bet365 (2 Units)

Weekly Update: 7-2, + 9.32 Units (18 Units Staked, + 51.78% Yield)

Tuesday, 24 February 2015

Midweek Football Picks 2015 (February 24-26)

The spread of the Champions League games means the First Legs of the Last 16 ties will be completed on Tuesday and Wednesday with the final four games to be played. The Tuesday action looks the 'must see' of the two days with Manchester City hosting Barcelona and Juventus hosting Borussia Dortmund, two games that are arguably the best ties of the Round.

On Thursday, the Europa League Last 16 will be put together as the Second Legs of the Last 32 Round is completed and it looks like a competition that will certainly bring together some big ties in the coming weeks as the majority of the top teams have First Leg advantages. However, there is still some work to be done for teams to earn their places in the Last 16 when teams may begin to think they can win the Europa League and earn a place in the Champions League for next season.

Juventus v Borussia Dortmund Pick: There a few matches that really stand out in the Champions League and this is arguably the tie of the Round as the Italian Champions Juventus take on Borussia Dortmund who have been very successful in this competition over the last couple of seasons.

Jurgen Klopp's men have also seemed to have turned a corner in the Bundesliga and that should give them confidence that they can beat Juventus over two legs. They haven't really displayed the same form in the Champions League where Borussia Dortmund have played much better than they have in their domestic campaign and that makes them a dangerous team.

Borussia Dortmund have scored plenty of goals and Juventus have been the opposite of Dortmund in that they haven't really been able to bring their Serie A form into the Champions League. Juventus have had a hard time turning draws into wins in this competition and they didn't beat Atletico Madrid in the Group at home, while Olympiacos were leading 1-2 before Juventus fought back to win the game.

If you also consider the likes of Bayern Munich and Real Madrid have both scored at least a couple of goals in recent games at Juventus in the Champions League and I do think the Italian side look a dangerous favourite to have faith in. I do think Juventus are the more likely winners, but Borussia Dortmund will have renewed belief thanks to three consecutive wins and this is a team with a real goal threat going forward.

At the same price as the home win, backing there being at least three goals in this one might make more sense. I can't see Juventus keeping a clean sheet but I am edging towards them winning the game so backing there being at least three goals looks the less risky approach, especially as I do think Borussia Dortmund are a very dangerous side remaining in this competition.

Manchester City v Barcelona Pick: If Manchester City had the services of Yaya Toure to call upon, they would look a big price to beat Barcelona at the Etihad Stadium in this First Leg, but the Ivorian's absence is tough to compensate for.

Without his driving runs through the middle of the park, Manchester City will have to play two midfielders in the heart of their team who are better defensively, but don't offer the support going forward that Toure does. It is a big blow for Manchester City considering they would very much like to be on the front foot in this game and try and take a lead to the Nou Camp next month, but Manuel Pellegrini also has to find the right balance as he won't want to be 0-2 down as City were twelve months ago.

Of course that match was turned on one moment at the end of the first half when Martin Demichelis was adjudged to have prevented a goal-scoring chance and sent off with the double punishment being Lionel Messi scoring from the resulting penalty.

The game was fairly tight before that and Manchester City come into this game in very good heart having beaten Stoke City and Newcastle United very easily in their last two games. Couple that with Barcelona's 0-1 home loss to Malaga and the fact the Catalan giants have lost half of their last 6 away games in the Champions League and you can understand why Manchester City will have their backers this evening.

However, I think City have shown vulnerabilities defensively which are going to be exploited by the likes of Luis Suarez, Neymar and Lionel Messi and it is hard to see the home side keeping a clean sheet considering they haven't had one in their last 10 home Champions League games. In fact, the last three 'big' teams that have visited the Etihad Stadium have all scored at least two goals (Bayern Munich twice and Barcelona).

Goals should be the order of the day in this tie too with both teams looking better going forward than they are at the back and I do think there will be chances at both ends barring another sending off. Barcelona's passing game might wear down Manchester City as some have suggested, but I think the more direct approach taken by Pellegrini will give the home team every chance as that has been a weakness for Barcelona to defend.

A lot of the value has gone out of there being goals in this game and I did consider a smaller interest on there being at least four goals. However, I will simply back for there to be at least three goals shared by these sides, which looks a less dangerous approach as neither team will look to push forward in the latter stages of a First Leg if the tie is finely balanced.

Arsenal v Monaco Pick: Over the last few years, Arsenal have regularly been punished for failing to top their Group in the Champions League with matches against the likes of Barcelona and Bayern Munich usually being their 'reward'. Unsurprisingly, Arsenal have failed to reach the Quarter Final in the Champions League since 2010, but they might not have a better chance than this time to snap that run as they meet Monaco.

There will be a lot of talk about the links between the clubs from Arsene Wenger to Thierry Henry, but the fans won't be that interested with the stories surrounding the game and will simply expect Arsenal to qualify for the Quarter Finals. They can take a big step in that direction by earning a comfortable home win in the First Leg which will set up the trip to Monte Carlo, especially as Monaco's home Stadium is one of the more intimate ones in Europe and can be difficult for the away team to perform.

Arsenal have won 10 of their last 15 home games in this competition with their biggest bogey teams coming from Germany so the confidence will be there that the Gunners can win this game. They have also won 9 in a row at home in all competitions since their 1-2 defeat to Manchester United and Monaco are a team that is well off the pace in the French domestic League and looking to cut some of the costs that got them back into the Champions League.

Monaco have won 4 of their last 5 away games in all competitions, but they struggled on their travels in the Group Stage of the Champions League as they drew in Zenit St Petersburg and were beaten in Benfica before a victory over Bayer Leverkusen. None of those three teams would be favourites to beat Arsenal in my opinion and this marks a big step up in class for Monaco compared with the usual opponents they deal with.

Of course it would be foolish to ignore that Monaco were well-drilled in the Group and only conceded one goal in six Champions League games, but they were also a little goal-shy with just four goals and I think Arsenal are clicking going forward and can record a decisive win.

Bayer Leverkusen v Atletico Madrid Pick: Bayer Leverkusen are once again challenging for a place in the Champions League with their form in the Bundesliga, but this is a team that has found it difficult to compete with the best teams in Europe on a regular basis. Over recent seasons, Leverkusen have beaten all the teams they would have expected to, but the likes of Barcelona, Manchester United and Paris Saint-Germain have all won convincingly in this Stadium.

Even the defeat to Monaco at home must raise questions as to whether Bayer Leverkusen have enough quality against the better teams they face in the Champions League. There will be some answers to that question when they face Atletico Madrid in the First Leg of the Champions League this week and I do fear for the German side.

Last week it was the other team from Madrid who visited Germany and proved there was a marked difference between the top Spanish teams and those challenging for top four positions in the Bundesliga. That might be the case again this week as Atletico Madrid should have too much quality for Leverkusen who have been struggling at home in recent games.

The feeling is that Bayer Leverkusen's best chance of beating Atletico Madrid will be at home and they might not find the right balance between attack and defence to at least make the Second Leg more than a foregone conclusion. Unfortunately it is hard to ignore the defeats that Bayer Leverkusen have suffered when faced by the best teams in the Champions League, even at home, and I think a small interest on Atletico Madrid taking a lead back to the Vicente Calderon is warranted.

Besiktas v Liverpool Pick: The 1-0 defeat in Anfield puts Besiktas behind the black ball in this one, but this is not an inescapable position for them considering the problems Liverpool are having with personnel they can rely upon.

The 0-2 win at Southampton last weekend has shown Liverpool they are more than capable of breaking into the top four of the Premier League and they have a big game with Manchester City this weekend which is taking away some of their focus. The midfield has been decimated ahead of this game with Steven Gerrard, Philippe Coutinho and Jordan Henderson all staying in Liverpool ahead of this match.

As well as Liverpool have played away from Anfield in recent weeks, this is a team that did lose 2 of their 3 away games in the Champions League Group Stage and Besiktas have already hosted two English teams this season in a goalless draw with Arsenal and beating Tottenham Hotspur.

Besiktas haven't been in the best form of late, but they have won three in a row at home and did show enough at Anfield to think they can win this game. They might not have enough to get through to the Last 16 because Liverpool still can call upon the likes of Daniel Sturridge, Mario Balotelli and Raheem Sterling for a goal, but the Turkish side look a big price to earn a win.

A small interest is all I can recommend because Besiktas could be caught on the break if they are leading 2-1 with ten minutes left, but I will back them to win this Second Leg.

Inter Milan v Celtic Pick: Celtic showed tremendous heart to recover from a couple of deficits in the First Leg of this Last 32 tie and earned a hard-fought 3-3 draw with Inter Milan, but that makes them a big underdog to progress.

The pressure will be on Celtic to come to the San Siro and win this game and I can imagine they will look to frustrate Inter Milan and then hit them later on in the game. However, Inter Milan have enough quality to create chances against Celtic and it will be tough for the Scottish Champions from recovering if they fall behind in this one.

Any time a team wins as many games as Celtic have been doing recently will mean confidence is high, but they have struggled away from home in Europe over the last few years. They might be able to keep this tight for a while, but Inter Milan should take control once they have the lead and have been playing well and scoring plenty of goals to think they will do that in this game.

I can see Celtic also being caught on the break if they end up chasing the game and I like Inter Milan to win this by a couple of goals.

Borussia Monchengladbach v Sevilla Pick: There have been some struggles for Borussia Monchengladbach at home in front of goal, but they should have an excellent chance to get amongst the goals against a Sevilla team that has been conceding at an alarming rate in recent games.

They were beaten 4-3 at Real Sociedad last weekend and Sevilla have conceded at least two goals in 5 straight away games in all competitions, while their form in the Europa League away from home won't build confidence. They have lost 3 of their last 5 away games in this competition, but Sevilla will at least point to the fact that they have scored goals away from home in recent weeks to give them the edge in this tie.

I was considering backing Borussia Monchengladbach to win this game, but a Sevilla goal will mean they are likely to be pushing men forward and could be caught on the counter-attack. Even if they are leading 2-1 in the later stages, Monchengladbach will still need another goal and again could be under pressure to send more men forward and give Sevilla a chance to grab another goal.

Sevilla's ability to score goals in away games does make them dangerous and I think this could produce an entertaining game. Borussia Monchengladbach have to get forward if Sevilla score and the Spanish side have been conceding plenty of goals too so the odds against quotes for at least three goals being shared looks a big price.

Everton v Young Boys Pick: Despite some of the comments that Uli Forte has been making in his press conference ahead of this Second Leg, it would take an unprecedented disaster from Everton to go out of the Europa League after winning 1-4 in Switzerland. Young Boys have to score at least four times to give themselves a chance and they are not the same team when they have had to play away from their plastic pitch.

The side were beaten easily in Naples and Prague during the Group Stage and even a changed Everton team should have enough to create chances. However, I do think Young Boys will come to Goodison Park with attacking intentions and can pose problems against a much changed Everton team that have been defensively naive for much of the season.

The unfamiliarity of the home side with one another playing against a decent team might give Young Boys a chance to at least salvage some pride in this one, but I also think the First Leg score gives Everton some freedom to express themselves.

I think that has been part of the problem in the Premier League where Everton are almost 'desperate' to put their wins together and that has led to nervousness in their performances. In the Europa League there seems to be a little more ease about the Everton showings and they should have success going forward against a team that didn't do a lot right defensively last week.

There is a potential for a high-scoring game, perhaps more of a chance than the layers seem to think, and I will back this Second Leg to go that way.

Sporting Lisbon v Wolfsburg Pick: It was Wolfsburg who set themselves up for a place in the Last 16 of the Europa League after a comfortable 2-0 home win over Sporting Lisbon last week at home, but they still have a little work to do to ensure they move through. A goal in the Portuguese Capital will likely be enough for Wolfsburg and this team have shown the appetite to do that in recent weeks.

This is a difficult test for Sporting Lisbon to find the right balance between attack and defence and it has the makings of an entertaining Cup tie, even if Sporting ultimately come up short.

Sporting Lisbon scored seven goals in two home games against Schalke and Maribor in the Champions League Group Stage so they will feel they can score in this one, while Wolfsburg have scored in 9 straight away games.

I'd be surprised if there aren't spaces to exploit in this game as it develops and an early goal should set this match on the way to at least three goals being shared by the teams.

MY PICKS: Juventus-Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.38 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Manchester City-Barcelona Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 Sky Bet (2 Units)
Arsenal - 1 Asian Handicap @ 1.88 Bet365 (2 Units)
Atletico Madrid @ 2.55 Bet Victor (1 Unit)
Besiktas @ 3.00 Sporting Bet (1 Unit)
Inter Milan - 1 Asian Handicap @ 2.05 Bet365 (2 Units)
Borussia Monchengladbach-Sevilla Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.00 Sky Bet (2 Units)
Everton-Young Boys Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.83 Ladbrokes (2 Units)
Sporting Lisbon-Wolfsburg Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.75 Bet Victor (2 Units)

February Update15-21-1, - 1.69 Units (59 Units Staked, - 2.86% Yield)

January Final10-22-1, - 10.54 Units (57 Units Staked, - 18.49% Yield)
December Final25-19-1, + 18.70 Units (81 Units Staked, + 23.09% Yield)
November Final17-21, - 0.59 Units (69 Units Staked, - 1% Yield)
October Final8-18, - 14.79 Units (47 Units Staked, - 31.47% Yield)
September Final12-18, - 2.28 Units (41 Units Staked, - 5.56% Yield)
August Final8-22, - 19.92 Units (51 Units Staked, - 39.06% Yield)

Season 2014/1580-120-2, - 29.42 Units (346 Units Staked, - 8.50% Yield)
Season 2013/14164-185-3, + 15.84 Units (577 Units Staked, + 2.75% Yield)
Season 2012/13+ 4.42 Units (415 Units Staked, + 1.07% Yield)