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Thursday 28 July 2011

Tennis Picks July 28th Stanford and LA

It was a much better day yesterday all round from the West Coast of America as the picks went 3-1 and Juan Martin Del Potro moved through to the Quarter Finals without too many problems.

Del Potro will face Ernests Gulbis in the next Round and holds a 3-0 head to head record against him and looks good to reach the Final and keep the outright pick from this tournament intact.

It looks like a much tougher day to predict today and I will only go with the one pick:

Alejandro Falla vs Thomaz Bellucci: It seems strange to pick a player who is just ranked in the top 100 to beat another who is just outside the top 30, but that is the one and only pick from these two tournaments today.

Alejandro Falla has not been in great form recently but already has one hard court match under his belt this week and that could stand him in good stead. The Colombian also reached the Quarter Final at Delray Beach earlier this season before running into Mardy Fish and did start the hard court Summer swing in good fashion last year when reaching the Quarter Final of this tournament.

That achievement also came after a bad run of form when he had lost 4 matches in a row and included a decent win over Ernests Gulbis.

Thomaz Bellucci's success comes on the clay courts and his game has not transferred to the faster courts as well as it perhaps should have. He has a decent serve and being left handed should have given him an edge, but he seems to struggle for consistency and judging the speed of the ball.

He lost early in Miami and Indian Wells this season and has a 4-4 record on the hard courts.

The Brazilian Number 1 was just 2-4 during the hard court Summer swing last season and I just think he could have a tough time again tonight in his first match since winning his Davis Cup tie the week after Wimbledon.

The players have a 1-1 head to head record, with Falla's victory coming in Indianapolis in 2008 during the US Open Series.


MY PICKS: Alejandro Falla @ 2.20 Pinnacle (2 Units)


WEEKLY UPDATE STANFORD/LA: - 2.18 Units

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