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Thursday 19 July 2012

Tennis Picks July 19th

Sofia Arvidsson - 3 games v Arantxa Rus: Sofia Arvidsson was a surprise winner in the First Round over Roberta Vinci, but she will be looking to at least replicate the run that saw her reach the Semi Final here last season in what is her home tournament.

She faces the young Dutch player Arantxa Rus and should be full of confidence that she can beat her having won twice against her in 2012 already.

Rus did reach the Semi Final of a Challenger event on the clay courts last week so is clearly in some sort of form, but she was only 3-3 on the Main Tour in clay court matches before reaching the Fourth Round in the French Open.

I imagine this match will have a number of breaks of serves in it, but I do think Arvidsson is going to be the person that has more than Rus and wins this match likely 6-4, 6-3.


Marcel Granollers - 3.5 games v Lukasz Kubot: Marcel Granollers is the reigning Champion here in Gstaad and I think he will be too strong for Lukasz Kubot in this Second Round match.

Granollers reached the Semi Final last week in Umag, but he can be a little inconsistent and that is a slight concern for me as he is capable of losing a set when he loses focus.

On the other hand, Kubot has not really enjoyed a lot of success on clay courts and I think Granollers is the player that is more comfortable on the surface and that could be the difference between the players in the match.

The Spaniard has won the previous two meetings against Kubot, both coming on clay courts, and I think he will complete the hat-trick.


Jeremy Chardy - 4 games v Julian Reister: These two players meet for the second consecutive week in a row and I like Jeremy Chardy to record another win over Julian Reister following a 6-2, 6-4 win in Stuttgart last week.

Reister caused a huge surprise in the First Round when he beat seeded Fernando Verdasco in straight sets and there is every chance that the German will be in a let-down spot following that big win. Even though Verdasco is not the force of a couple of years ago, a win over the Spaniard on a clay court is still impressive, particularly in the ease in which it was delivered.

However, the let-down has to be a concern for Reister in this one, while he is also playing a player in decent nick of late. Chardy has already recorded more wins on the Main Tour this season than he did in the whole of last season and I think he has the serve in this match to make the difference between the players.

Chardy is likely to get a lot more cheap points behind his serve and he showed last week that he can get a good read on the Reister serve and that should put him in a good spot to get the cover in this one. I wouldn't be surprised to see Chardy win this one 6-4, 6-3.


MY PICKS: Sofia Arvidsson - 3 games @ 1.94 Pinnacle (2 Units)
Marcel Granollers - 3.5 games @ 1.92 Pinnacle (2 Units)
Jeremy Chardy - 4 games @ 2.17 Pinnacle (2 Units)
Kevin Anderson - 3.5 games @ 1.80 Bet Victor (2 Units) To be Completed 1-1 (Rain delay at time of writing)

Weekly Update: 3-4, - 1.93 Units (10 Units Staked)

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