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Wednesday 29 August 2012

US Open Day 3 Picks (August 29th)

It was a much better day yesterday for the picks as three of the four came off as winners and has taken the profit into a positive for the week.

I also enjoyed the fact that all the outright picks I have made have moved through to the Second Round with just David Ferrer to still complete his First Round match. Hopefully they will all still be intact by the end of the days play.

The early rounds have proven to be well priced by the layers as far as I can see so I am sticking with just the two picks again today.


Magdalena Rybarikova - 1.5 games v Jie Zheng: Magdalena Rybarikova is the younger player of the two and she has been in very good form recently to think that she will be capable of knocking off Jie Zheng in this Second Round match.

Rybarikova won the tournament in Washington and then took a couple of weeks off before winning through the qualifiers here in Flushing Meadows. She came through a tough First Round encounter and has already surpassed her achievements last year at the US Open.

Her opponent, Zheng, had lost 4 of her last 5 matches before coming through the First Round thanks to Virginie Razzano's retirement from that match. She has always been a solid competitor on the hard courts so I don't want to under-estimate her in this one, but the form of Rybarikova definitely gives her the edge in my opinion.

Rybarikova also beat Zheng in the Semi Final of a hard court tournament in China last year and has now won both of their previous matches without losing a set so the mental edge should also belong to her in this one.

It might need a decider, but I'll back the Slovakian to come through.


Lucie Safarova - 2.5 games v Aleksandra Wozniak: Lucie Safarova is one of the ball-bashing players on the WTA Tour that you have to catch on the right day if she isn't going to throw one of her really poor performances in.

She reached the Semi Final in Montreal and also the Quarter Final in New Haven, but she cannot afford to take Aleksandra Wozniak lightly considering the Canadian has also been in decent form.

Wozniak was a Quarter Finalist at Montreal and Dallas so has been showing plenty of good form herself.

Both players got through the First Round by handing in at least one bagel, but the key difference could be the fact that Safarova has dominated the last two meetings between the players.

Safarova has the better serve of the two players and should be able to get more 'cheap points' of the two and that means Wozniak will be under the more pressure to keep holding serve. Eventually that should tell and allow Safarova to come away with the win, most likely in straight sets.


MY PICKS: Magdalena Rybarikova - 1.5 games @ 2.05 Pinnacle (2 Units)
Lucie Safarova - 2.5 games @ 1.92 Bet365 (2 Units)


US Open Update: 3-2, + 2.28 Units (9 Units Staked)

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