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NBA Picks December 2017 (December 11-17)

December has not started as well as I had hoped and I have taken a couple of days off from the NBA Picks to get back on track. I missed an...

Tuesday, 12 December 2017

Midweek Football Picks 2017 (December 12-13)

The December Football schedule means there are not a lot of days to rest and recover and that is shown by another round of Premier League fixtures to be played on Tuesday and Wednesday.

The last weekend was a big one in terms of the title race as it looks like Manchester City are going to be very difficult to pull back after winning at Old Trafford. It was a tough day for us Manchester United fans and I will have a short piece about United in the wake of that defeat which should be posted before the Bournemouth game on Wednesday.


On Monday the Champions League and Europa League Last 16/Last 32 Knock Out ties were drawn and it looks an interesting time for the Premier League.

I do think Arsenal can work their way through to the Last 16 without too many issues when they take on Ostersunds and the importance of the Europa League will depend on how The Gunners play in the Premier League between now and February.

The more intriguing ties came in the Champions League as the five English teams in the Last 16 received their opponents.

Manchester United, Liverpool and Manchester City should be very happy when they play the two Legs against Sevilla, Porto and Basel respectively.

Both Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea have received the glamour ties against Juventus and Barcelona which will really appeal to the fans, and I think both will have their chances. I lean towards Tottenham Hotspur making a quartet of English representatives in the Quarter Finals and Chelsea being edged out, but those the situation could be much different when we come around to February when the Champions League recommences.

And of course most will be looking forward to Real Madrid versus Paris Saint-Germain which looks a tie that could easily determine the winner of the Champions League this season.


This weekend was one of the worst when it comes to the Football Picks in recent weeks and I have to say I was a little irritated things went south as badly as they did. The Christian Benteke penalty miss was costly, but it was a tough day all around and I am looking for a significant bounce back on Tuesday and Wednesday this week.


Crystal Palace v Watford Pick: Neither Roy Hodgson or Marco Silva were in a great mood on Saturday evening after feeling their teams had been hard done by, but both Crystal Palace and Watford have to pick themselves up immediately with another round of Premier League games this midweek.

Crystal Palace may rue the two points they dropped on Saturday when Christian Benteke decided to take a penalty that the manager or coaching staff did not ask him to. Benteke isn't the designated penalty taker for Crystal Palace with Luka Milivojevic having already scored one penalty on the day still on the pitch, and you do have to wonder how the players feel about the way things panned out.

There is also the concern that Wilfried Zaha could face a suspension having won the first penalty in controversial fashion, but that has not been decided at the time of writing. Losing Zaha would be a huge blow for Crystal Palace, but Hodgson has to be encouraged that his team can create chances at home.

Saturday was the fifth consecutive home game in which Crystal Palace had scored at least two goals and there are injury concerns and suspensions which make Watford vulnerable. However Marco Silva has to feel his side can create chances at Selhurst Park too with Watford being an efficient counter attacking team.

Crystal Palace haven't done clean sheets at home and I can see this being another high-scoring game for the home fans to appreciate. I am leaning towards a home win too with Watford perhaps a little tired after playing with ten men for a long time on Saturday, but I do think Watford can play their part here and will back at least three goals to be shared out.

Watford have scored plenty of away goals in the League, but have also conceded quite a few and an entertaining game could be the outcome.


Huddersfield Town v Chelsea Pick: These two teams come into this live Premier League televised encounter after contrasting feelings from the results they earned on Saturday, but Chelsea will still be big favourites to win at Huddersfield Town.

While Chelsea went down to a 1-0 loss on Saturday lunchtime, Huddersfield Town beat Brighton 2-0 here later in the day. However I do wonder how much energy the home team will have for this game having been hammered at Arsenal just a few days after an intense battle with Manchester City a couple of weeks ago.

The home form is key for Huddersfield Town, but the intensity with which David Wagner wants his players to play can be sapping. They were the far better team on Saturday when beating Brighton, and Huddersfield Town will look to exploit all the set pieces they have, but it may be tough to dominate in the same way against Chelsea.

Despite the disappointing performance against West Ham United, Chelsea have shown they can bounce back from poor results with much better ones soon after. Antonio Conte's suggestion the players were tired is a concern, but there is enough quality to make some changes and still be an effective threat, while this time they are facing a team who will have played with less recovery time.

That could be important for Chelsea who will also play again on Saturday with more recovery time than their next opponents. You do have to respect the Huddersfield Town home form which has seen them beat Manchester United and only narrowly lose to Manchester City, but I do think it is difficult for their squad to play two Premier League games in a short space of days like this.

Chelsea's experience of dealing with a couple of games in a three or four day period should help them here and I do think they can bounce back from the loss at West Ham United. It won't be easy, but I expect Chelsea can wear Huddersfield Town down with the domination of the ball and the home team might not have the same intensity in the second of two Premier League games in four days and I will look for Chelsea to win by a couple of goals on the day.


Newcastle United v Everton Pick: The one concern for any midweek fixtures off the back of a busy Premier League weekend is how much energy has been sapped in matches played. That has to be an issue for Everton after playing in the Merseyside derby on Sunday, but they can at least point to the draw as a positive and perhaps another confidence boost for a squad of players who had been struggling.

It certainly makes it a surprise to see Newcastle United as favourites to beat them after they were beaten here by Leicester City on Saturday afternoon. Having a few hours more of recovery time can be important, but The Magpies are out of form and Rafa Benitez is struggling to get a tune out of his players.

Newcastle United have lost 6 of their last 7 games and they are now just a couple of points clear of the bottom three and with some tough fixtures to come. They have lost 3 in a row at St James' Park and I just can't have them as favourites to beat Everton this Wednesday.

Sam Allardyce will look to make Everton hard to beat and challenge Newcastle United on the counter attack and I think they can have success doing that. Energy levels could be an issue, but Newcastle United are struggling and the visitors are in the kind of form where they can be backed with a start on the Asian Handicap.


Southampton v Leicester City Pick: There is a clear storyline in play when Southampton face Leicester City on Wednesday and that is the return of Claude Puel to St Mary's where his tactics were not appreciated by the home fans. In his time with Southampton Puel took them to a League Cup Final, but there was a perception of negativity that surrounded him and that saw Southampton decide to move on.

A few months later Puel has taken over at Leicester City and the fans at his new club may have been worried about what to expect when reading about his time with Southampton. However Leicester City have been far from a boring team to watch since Puel replaced Craig Shakespeare and the players seem very happy.

That should mean they are given even more motivation to put in a big performance for their manager in this game which will mean a lot to Puel.

Leicester City have been in a good run which will increase the confidence and they have been scoring plenty of goals in recent games both at home and away. The 2-3 win at Newcastle United on Saturday showed some of the determination in the squad after Leicester City had fallen 1-0 down very early in the contest and I do think they can provide problems for Southampton who have had a day less recovery time from the weekend fixtures.

Southampton have also been in improved form in recent weeks which should mean we have a decent fixture in prospect. They should have beaten Arsenal with the chances they had in the second half, but the final ball is still a problem for Southampton and I think that is still holding them back from really pushing on up the Premier League table.

Charlie Austin is providing a goal threat, but Southampton have only scored more than one goal in 1 of their last 8 Premier League games. That was in the recent 4-1 win over Everton at St Mary's but the lack of goals continues to be an issue that needs resolving and I think that gives Leicester City every chance to earn a result for Claude Puel.

The away side have scored at least twice in 3 of their last 4 away Premier League games and I think Leicester City can avoid a loss here. I was tempted to back the draw, but Leicester City have created enough chances to win games and if Southampton continue to struggle for goals there is every opportunity for Leicester City to win here.

Either way, I think Leicester City earn a result and I will back them with a start on the Asian Handicap to do that.


Swansea City v Manchester City Pick: It is still too early to put the fork into the Premier League title chase, but Manchester City have looked very strong and the win at Old Trafford moving them 11 points clear of 2nd placed Manchester United looks a huge lead already. Things can change quickly, but it is tough to see Manchester City hitting the kind of slump that will be needed for that gap to decrease and I really don't think that happens here at the Liberty Stadium.

Paul Clement just has to be happy that his side won on Saturday to ease some of the pressure he has to have been feeling as Swansea City manager. The rumours that the club were looking at Tony Pulis as a possible replacement didn't affect the players who helped Swansea City beat West Brom 1-0, but this is a completely different level of test.

You know Clement will try and set Swansea City up to be tough to beat and hit Manchester City on the counter attack, but it is the away side who will dominate the ball. The talent Manchester City have means they are likely to wear down Swansea City over the course of ninety minutes, and the lack of goals in the Swansea City squad has to be a concern.

Wilfried Bony has scored twice in a row and would love to do the same against his former club Manchester City, but this is a team who had failed to score in 3 home games prior to the win over West Brom. The lack of goals is the reason Swansea City are struggling in the Premier League and I think they will have their problems trying to get to the Manchester City backline in this one.

Manchester City have a strong recent record at Swansea City and the feeling is that they will likely win this one with a clean sheet which can be backed at odds against. That looks the most likely way this fixture ends as Manchester City likely have a couple of goals in the side to secure the victory and keep the pressure on their rivals to try and find a way to stay with them.


Liverpool v West Brom Pick: Jurgen Klopp was angry and irritated by the questions he was facing immediately after Liverpool could only draw 1-1 with Everton as he felt the officials had made the wrong decision for the late Everton penalty that was awarded. It was the frustration that came out of the day when Liverpool should have won the Merseyside derby with some comfort, but Klopp will likely recognise the penalty was the correct decision.

He will be hoping to be in a better mood on Wednesday evening after Liverpool host an out of form West Brom team who remain tough to break down even after Tony Pulis has moved on. Alan Pardew has not made an immediate impact with The Baggies though and this is a team who have struggled in the final third which is going to make it tough to earn a result here.

West Brom will likely hope to do the same as Everton and contain Liverpool as much as possible and take advantage of any set pieces or counter attacking opportunities they get. The Liverpool defence is one that is far from watertight, but it was still tough for Everton to get up the field and I think that is going to be the case for West Brom here.

As poor as Liverpool have defended at times, they seem to do better at Anfield where they have had 5 clean sheets in their last 7 here in all competitions. They have won 4 of their last 6 at Anfield and all of those wins have come with a clean sheet and I have to think that is very likely against a West Brom team who have lost 3 of their last 4 away Premier League games by the same 1-0 scoreline.

The Baggies have also failed to score in 4 of their last 6 Premier League games overall and I think that is going to be a problem for them on Wednesday. Backing Liverpool to win this one with a clean sheet is a big enough price to be involved and they have been better defensively at Anfield to think they can earn the three points behind a clean sheet here.


Manchester United v Bournemouth Pick: It was a disappointing day in the office for Manchester United on Sunday when they were clearly the second best team on the pitch against Manchester City, but the manner of the goals conceded will haunt Jose Mourinho. For all the talk of possession and shots, it was two blunders from set pieces which cost Manchester United and that will hurt considering that was supposed to be an area of strength.

It will hurt and the players and fans will be feeling a little sore on Monday, but they have to get back on the horse in a busy December.

All is not lost yet for Manchester United who have to put a winning run together and then see how things are looking in a few weeks time. They have a chance to do that with the next set of League games coming mainly against teams in the bottom half of the Premier League table and that begins on Wednesday when hosting Bournemouth.

I do expect Jose Mourinho to make some changes to freshen up his team although there aren't many options in the middle of the park. The likes of Phil Jones, Luke Shaw, Matteo Darmian, Henrikh Mkhitaryan didn't play a minute on Sunday, while Juan Mata and Zlatan Ibrahimovic both had limited roles.

The squad should be able to cope with a Bournemouth side who were fortunate to escape Crystal Palace with a point when you think of the chances the home side had. Bournemouth do feel more comfortable at this level, but they have been second best when facing the top teams in the League for the most part.

This is a team who have lost at both Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur and suffered home losses to Manchester City and Chelsea and I do think Bournemouth are not quite so good on their travels. They can't make the same types of changes as Manchester United so tiredness could be a factor considering the effort made on Saturday, although an extra day of rest will help the visitors in this one.

Even with that in mind, they are facing a Manchester United team who will have something to prove on Wednesday. The top four places is the minimum everyone connected with the club will expect and they have to recover from a disappointing result.

Being at home helps considering Manchester United had won 12 straight at Old Trafford before Sunday, and they have been putting some of the lesser lights to the sword in front of their home fans. That is a marked improvement from last season and I think Manchester United will dominate the possession in this one and are able to score the goals to win by a relatively comfortable margin too.

Bournemouth will allow Manchester United to express themselves and that has led to plenty of goals conceded when visiting the top teams in England. There might not be a lot of goals in this one as Manchester United just want to get back to winning and Bournemouth may be looking to keep it tight as possible, but Manchester United have followed each of their previous 3 losses this season with wins.

2 of those have come by at least a two goal margin and I will back Manchester United to cover the Asian Handicap in this one.


Tottenham Hotspur v Brighton Pick: December is a test for clubs both at the top and bottom of the Premier League with the games coming thick and fast and that stretches squads. However teams at the top will feel they can make a few more changes to freshen things up and keep the quality at a high level which is an issue for those lower down the Division.

It shouldn't be a problem for Tottenham Hotspur this midweek, although they are likely going to keep the big names out there to try and build some momentum ahead of the Premier League game at Manchester City on Saturday. They may freshen up the full back positions and not lose too much, and I do think Tottenham Hotspur are going to be too good for Brighton who are struggling.

Chris Hughton won't be panicking just yet, but Brighton have taken some heavy losses of late and the disappointment of the 2-0 loss at Huddersfield Town will have dented the confidence. Travelling to Wembley Stadium may offer the motivation for a big effort, but I wouldn't be surprised if Hughton makes some changes with the weekend game in mind.

Back to back home games against Burnley and Watford could be the priority for Hughton and Brighton and I think that may show up on Wednesday.

Brighton did play well in a narrow loss at Old Trafford recently, but they have since lost 1-5 to Liverpool and 2-0 at Huddersfield Town. The Seagulls have also lost by a couple of goals against Manchester City and Arsenal this season and I do think Tottenham Hotspur are perhaps trending upwards after some recent negative results.

That should see Tottenham Hotspur create the chances to win this game and cover the Asian Handicap.


West Ham United v Arsenal Pick: The two teams had contrasting results in the last round of Premier League fixtures, but I think Arsenal can bounce back against West Ham United.

The home team should be very confident and coming in with a lot of positive feeling after beating Chelsea 1-0 here on Saturday and they have also had an extra day to prepare for this London derby. However West Ham United have a squad that is stretched and they had to put in a lot of work on Saturday to earn the victory over Chelsea and I do wonder if that has taken something out of the tank.

The players certainly looked short of energy at the end of the win over Chelsea and they are likely going to be doing a lot of chasing in this one against an Arsenal team who can dominate possession.

However West Ham United should feel they can create chances against an Arsenal defence which has looked very vulnerable in the last couple of League games. They were fortunate not to be punished by Southampton who had some very strong counter attacking opportunities, but Arsenal have the talent to break down any team in front of them when they are playing at their best.

Arsenal conceded early and West Ham United scored early over the weekend and I do think the opening moments will be important in this one. If Arsenal can just weather what is likely to be an early storm, I would fancy Arsenal to create chances against a West Ham United team who will have some fatigue to deal with.

In recent years Arsenal have enjoyed their trips to West Ham United including a 1-5 win at the London Stadium last season. I think they will be able to bounce back from the last couple of weaker Premier League results with a much better one on Wednesday and I still think West Ham United are a team who have issues at the back that Arsenal can expose.

It didn't work on Saturday, but I will back Arsenal to cover the Asian Handicap in a win at the London Stadium on Wednesday.

MY PICKS: Crystal Palace-Watford Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 Betfair Sportsbook (2 Units)
Chelsea - 1.25 Asian Handicap @ 2.05 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Everton + 0.25 Asian Handicap @ 1.86 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Leicester City + 0.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.85 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Manchester City Win to Nil @ 2.10 Boyle Sports (2 Units)
Liverpool Win to Nil @ 1.92 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Manchester United - 1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.88 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Tottenham Hotspur - 1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.75 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Arsenal - 1 Asian Handicap @ 2.12 Bet365 (2 Units)

December Update: 9-18, - 12.38 Units (45 Units Staked, - 27.51% Yield)

Monday, 11 December 2017

NBA Picks December 2017 (December 11-17)

December has not started as well as I had hoped and I have taken a couple of days off from the NBA Picks to get back on track.

I missed any picks from Sunday after the New York Knicks blew a big chance to knock off the Chicago Bulls on Saturday and I won't be making any picks from Monday this week either.

However I am putting the thread for the week's NBA games up now and will be adding Picks as the week progresses.


Monday 11th December
There are a few games scheduled for Monday but it is the case of having a watching brief for me as I look to get this month back on track. It has been a good start to the season for the NBA Picks, but nothing really appealed on Monday after what has been a rough opening to December.


Tuesday 12th December
LA Lakers @ New York Knicks Pick: Time restrictions means I will say a few words here for this one NBA Pick from the Tuesday offerings.

The Knicks have been so much better at home than on the road and they will be looking to put another win on the board during a period where so many of their games will have to be played away from Madison Square Garden. They have the shooting to trouble the LA Lakers who will be excited about playing here, but may be a little over-rated having won back to back games.

New York are 3-0 against the spread when favoured by less than 3 points and the superior three point Defensive work may just be enough for the Knicks to win this one and cover this number.

MY PICKS: 12/12 New York Knicks - 2.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (1 Unit)

December 11-17 Update: 1-0, + 0.91 Units (1 Unit Staked, + 91% Yield)

December 1-10 Final: 5-7, - 2.45 Units (12 Units Staked, - 20.42% Yield)

Saturday, 9 December 2017

NFL Week 14 Picks 2017 (December 7-11)

There must have been something in the water that the NFL players were drinking last week with some nasty big hits being delivered throughout the League. However it was the incidents which clearly crossed the line that most stood out with the Week 13 games ending with an ugly one between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals.

One game suspensions were simply not enough from the NFL to lay down if they take player safety as clearly as they claim to do, especially not the one game for Rob Gronkowski who hit a defenceless player laying on the ground long after the play had been blown dead.

That was ridiculous to be honest and even Bill Belichick was heard telling Sean McDermott that it was 'bullshit' after the game at the shake hands on the middle of the field.


Last week I began predicting the rest of the NFL season to determine the twelve Play Off teams but admitted things can change so quickly in a League where every win is crucial at this stage of the season.

The results last week did create a change in both the AFC and NFC Conferences with one team replacing one that was in in Week 13.

The Kansas City Chiefs continue slipping down the standings and have been replaced by the Baltimore Ravens, while the Carolina Panthers have been knocked out by the Seattle Seahawks with the way the tie-breakers have worked out.

AFC: New England, Pittsburgh, Jacksonville, Los Angeles Chargers, Tennessee and Baltimore.

NFC: Philadelphia, Minnesota, New Orleans, Seattle, Atlanta and Los Angeles Rams.


The big games keep coming in the NFL and so onto the Week 14 Picks.


Green Bay Packers @ Cleveland Browns Pick: Everything is pointing to Aaron Rodgers returning to the field in Week 15, but the Green Bay Packers will be hoping they can coax one more win out of the inexperienced Quarter Back. They have managed that in Chicago and last week over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and turning over a team who are 7-6 to the All-Pro Aaron Rodgers may just be enough time to help the Packers surprisingly make the Play Offs.

If they were in the AFC, Green Bay might even have been the favourite to earn a Wild Card spot at 7-6 and with Rodgers back in the line up. It is much tougher in the AFC and dropping this game would not only be embarrassing for the Packers, but even winning out to finish at 9-7 would not likely be good enough to make the Play Offs.

That means there is some real pressure on Hundley as well as the fact that Green Bay are facing the winless Cleveland Browns who are breaking records for their ineptitude in each passing week. Hue Jackson has to be a Coach just playing out the string after the General Manager was fired this week and Cleveland have found ways to make mistakes to ensure their poor 0-12 record has stood up.

Some games have been closer than others and the Browns have to feel this is as good a chance to end their winless run as they have on their remaining schedule. The other remaining opportunity where they will feel good about their chances is in Week 16 and going to the Bears, but Cleveland have to give their home fans something to get excited about going into the 2018 season.

The franchise Quarter Back issue has remained a glaring hole on the roster and DeShone Kizer has to be wondering if he is going to have many more chances to prove he has shown enough to be given that chance. It would be a real surprise if Cleveland don't pick a Quarter Back in the First Round in the 2018 Draft so it is up to Kizer to show he has something that may make them take a step back and think about that.

With Josh Gordon back in the line up this might be a really good chance for Kizer to prove he is learning and improving. The Green Bay Secondary is banged up to say the least and Gordon is a huge target who can make some flashy catches to help out his Quarter Back having already shown how important he could be to this Receiving corps last week against the Chargers.

Kizer has to be a little more aware when he has the ball in his hands though as he can hold onto it for too long, while the Green Bay strength is up front and the Defensive Line could find their way to the Quarter Back. That could be a problem in this game and was evident at the end of the loss to the Chargers when Kizer ended up throwing an Interception under pressure and also was guilty of a Sack Fumble while driving down the field.

If he can just maintain his cool, Kizer should be able to have a big game against the Packers and also has the ability to scramble away from pressure and make plays with his legs downfield. The Browns should have some success running the ball and I think they can score a fair few points as long as Kizer isn't making the mistakes which have blighted his game.

On the other side I do think this is a big test for Brett Hundley to show how much he has learned while spotting for Aaron Rodgers. In recent games the Packers have really leaned on the running game to help their Offense move the ball, but the Cleveland Browns are strong up front and will feel they have the Defensive Line to prevent that happening against them.

Hundley himself may move the ball with his legs so the Browns will have to be aware of that, but they can put the young Quarter Back in some third and long spots and see whether he is able to convert those. The Quarter Back is another guilty of perhaps holding the ball a little too long and Hundley had issues throwing the ball at UCLA and I expect that to be a problem for him to deal with on Sunday.

The Browns are capable of getting some real pressure on Hundley against this Green Bay Offensive Line, while the Secondary haven't played badly when not being left in poor field positions. Interceptions haven't been too frequent, but Cleveland have to feel they will have chances against Hundley who has made mistakes and I do think the home team have a chance for the upset.

Green Bay did cover as the favourite last week, but getting more than a Field Goal start looks a big lead for the Cleveland Browns who should be able to score their points and force Hundley to beat them through the air. The Browns have found a way to lose and fail to cover with some late mistakes costing them, but I think they can keep this one closer and I will have faith that Kizer can make enough plays to do that.


Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs Pick: The AFC West has suddenly become a really open Division in which three teams can work their way into the Play Offs. Much of that is down to the Kansas City Chiefs losing six of their last seven games to drop to 6-6 and open the door for the Oakland Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers who are both at 6-6 themselves.

It looks almost impossible for more than one team to make it into the Play Offs from this Division as the three leading teams meet one another one more time in the final four weeks of the season. The Chiefs at least host both the Raiders and Chargers, but the latter two teams have momentum and these AFC West games should be a lot of fun.

The 1pm kick off time is another advantage for Kansas City as well as playing at home, but they have lost Marcus Peters who has been suspended by Andy Reid and that added to the poor momentum makes it tough to understand why the Chiefs are the favourites by as many points as they are.

Of course the Oakland Raiders are having an underachieving year of their own with many expecting them to be a Super Bowl contender instead of struggling at 6-6 with four weeks remaining. Three wins in the last four has given the Raiders a real chance to make the Play Offs again though and perhaps there have been signs the Raiders are turning a corner.

Michael Crabtree is back from a suspension for Derek Carr this week, although Amari Cooper may have to miss out again as he remains in concussion protocol. The return of Crabtree is big for Carr though as he had become a favourite target of the Quarter Back and this Kansas City Defensive unit have been one that has been struggling to stop anyone as they showed when letting Josh McCown have his way against them last week.

Carr had his best game of the season against the Chiefs on Thursday Night Football a few weeks ago and he should be given enough time to make plenty of big plays in this one too. I would expect Carr to have a big day throwing the ball, especially with the Offensive Line looking a little better with Marshawn Lynch running the ball than they have for much of the season.

The Defensive problems have to be a real concern for the Chiefs especially with Peters sitting this week and that means it will be on Alex Smith to try and help lead them to what would be a huge win for Kansas City. Smith had a big game last week but it wasn't enough in the loss to the Jets and the whole Chiefs Offensive unit look to be on different pages at the moment.

Kareem Hunt hitting the rookie wall has been devastating for Kansas City but they are still capable of enough trickery to establish a run game. However that will be tested by a Defensive Line in the Raiders who look to be playing at a high level and this Chiefs team is simply not built to play from third and long situations.

Smith will be able to make some quick throws to try and keep Kansas City in third and manageable spots throughout this one, but anything else could see Oakland unleash their pass rush. The Raiders have been strong up front and managed to get to the Quarter Back and all of Smith's scrambling ability may not be enough to stop the Raiders when the third and long spots come out.

Oakland are 8-3 against the spread in their last eleven visits to Arrowhead Stadium, while the road team is 21-8 against the spread in the last twenty-nine in the series. I have to respect how well Kansas City have played against their fellow AFC West Divisional rivals with their 7-1 record against the spread from the last eight Divisional games, but that may not be enough here.

Getting more than a Field Goal with the road team looks a lot of points on the face of things and I like Oakland's current momentum compared with the Chiefs who have been in free-fall. I'll take the points and look for Derek Carr to find a backdoor cover at worst.


Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants Pick: The NFC East Division looks to have been decided with the Philadelphia Eagles on the brink of clinching, but the Dallas Cowboys will still believe they can make the Play Offs. An important win on Thursday Night Football in Week 13 has moved the Cowboys back up to 6-6 and they will be looking to win out to give themselves a chance of a Wild Card spot in a loaded Conference.

A three game losing run prior to the win over the Redskins had looked to put the Cowboys out of contention, but a 10-6 record could be good enough as long as some of the teams ahead of them can start separating out. Lots of big games are to come, but the Cowboys will feel they are in a much better position than their rivals the New York Giants.

After some huge criticisms in the wake of benching Eli Manning, Ben McAdoo was fired along with Jerry Reese, the General Manager, earlier this week. Manning's ironman streak of starts came to an end, but he is back behind Center this week and I am not sure how the Giants are going to respond to the entire upheaval which is likely going to produce some big changes in the off-season.

Playing Dallas will help as the fans and players will recognise this as perhaps the last big game they are going to play in 2017. The Giants still have the Eagles coming to town, but spoiling the Cowboys chances of making the Play Offs can't be underestimated especially as Manning will want to prove there was no business in benching him.

It has been an ugly season for the Giants all around and the problems have begun with injuries to the Receiving corps. That has only underlined the issues New York had in running the ball and that has continued and is expected to be a major concern for them in this game too.

Without being able to run the ball, it has been tough for Manning, or Geno Smith, to throw to inexperienced Receivers who have not been able to replicate the plays that Odell Beckham Jr could make. There have been a couple of stand out performers, but nothing consistent enough and Manning might not have a lot of success against the Cowboys either despite the concerns on the Defensive side of the ball.

Dallas can get to the Quarter Back though and I think Manning will find himself in some tough spots on the field in his return to starting duties.

Keeping Dak Prescott out of those tough positions has been a little easier for the Dallas Cowboys when the Offensive Line has looked healthy and they certainly look like they are coming into Week 14 healthy. The Cowboys dominated the Redskins up front and I do think they can open some big lanes for the likes of Alfred Morris who continues to start in place of Ezekiel Elliot.

Prescott has an injury to his throwing hand, but he has shown no concern it is going to limit his play and the Quarter Back should be good to go. He is a much different prospect when having a strong running game to support him so I do think Prescott can have a solid outing against the Giants with his throws likely to come from third and manageable situations.

He is also a threat to run the ball himself but the key will be to limit the turnovers that have hurt Prescott during the Dallas three game losing run. The Giants are still playing hard on the Defensive side of the ball which will make this a close game, but I do like Dallas' mindset about taking every game like a Play Off game and I do think they will win here.

The Cowboys are only 1-5 against the spread in the last six in this series but that cover came in the first meeting between these teams earlier this season. I also think Dallas look a little healthier than the Giants and they should be in a better place emotionally with a win behind them and a few extra days to prepare while New York have been dealing with some off field problems.

Sean Lee could also be back for the Dallas Cowboys to provide another lift for a team that will believe they can run the table and I will look for them to run the ball well enough to win this one by around a Touchdown on the road.


New York Jets @ Denver Broncos Pick: The Denver Broncos are basically out of contention when it comes to the Play Offs and a bad season can't end quickly enough if you consider the way they played against the Miami Dolphins in Week 13. However there were a couple of factors at play that didn't help their cause with the main one being the illness that had spread through the team, while Aqib Talib had his one game suspension for the fight with Michael Crabtree in Week 12.

You have to think a week between games has given the Broncos the time to at least get a little healthier and I am surprised to see them as a home underdog against the overachieving New York Jets. Winning out may give the Jets an outside chance of reaching the Play Offs which would be a huge surprise considering some were tipping them up to fail to win a game, but I think the bigger factor is the team are certainly behind Todd Bowles as Head Coach.

Bowles may get the chance to bring in the franchise Quarter Back in the next Draft, but the veteran presence of Josh McCown has helped the Jets overachieve. Even with that in mind, McCown has a different level of test this week going up against the Broncos Defensive unit that is still amongst the best in the NFL even if they have not been up to their usual high standards of yesteryear for Vance Joseph.

While I expect Bowles to get another chance to Head Coach with the Jets, Joseph may be part of a huge move by the Broncos to try and turn things around. Joseph has still overseen a strong Defensive Line that can stop the run and they will feel the return of Talib also will make it difficult for the Jets to throw the ball against them.

The Broncos should be able to get plenty of pressure on McCown when he does drop back to throw the ball and I think the Defense is going to want to prove themselves after a letdown last week when illness hurt them. They also were hurt by the short fields the Offensive unit left them in and I do think Denver can produce a big performance on the Defensive side of the ball to give them a chance to win this game.

Trevor Siemian was to blame, but he was playing through an illness too and that has to have contributed to his performance although it is beginning to look clear that the Broncos will be adding a Quarter Back to the mix for the 2018 season. It may help Siemian if the Broncos can offer any kind of run game and they may have a chance to establish the run in this one against the Jets despite the strength of the latter being on the Defensive Line.

Even with that in mind, the Jets have given up big yards on the ground which can keep Denver in third and manageable spots from where Siemian should be able to find his big time Receivers. Mistakes can be costly though and have blighted every Quarter Back for the Denver Broncos, while the Jets get plenty of pressure up front themselves against an Offensive Line which has struggled in pass protection all season.

From third and manageable Siemian should have more success and Denver are a different prospect at Mile High than they are on the road where they have lost their last couple of games.

New York are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five against Denver and I am not at all convinced they should be favourites here. Denver are a hard team to trust as they look like they may have given up on their Head Coach, but they are more talented than the Jets and I expect that shows up home, while I don't think New York have any business being favourites on the road.


Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Rams Pick: These two teams did not make the Play Offs in the 2016 season but both are destined to be there this time around. That doesn't mean this game is not an important one for both the Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Rams who are playing for potential Seeding as well as having the chance to strike a mental blow which could be crucial if they were to meet again in the Play Offs.

The Head Coaches at both the Eagles and Rams deserve a lot of credit for the way the teams have performed this season, but I have to give the edge to Sean McVay who has taken a predictable Offense and turned them into one of the more explosive ones in the NFL. His job with Jared Goff cannot be underestimated considering how poor Goff looked in his rookie season and the Rams have to feel very happy with the direction their team is taking.

Goff faces Carson Wentz for the first time in the pros and it was Goff who won the Draft battle by going Number 1 compared with Wentz who was Number 2. I don't think either franchise will be too disappointed with the Quarter Back they Drafted and both could be playing for years at the toughest position in Football.

The Eagles are in a tough spot having lost in Week 13 in Seattle and playing in back to back road games on the West Coast. They at least had the foresight to stay on that side of the United States and I think the Eagles have to feel they gave away the loss to the Seahawks considering they won the yardage battle by 115 yards.

It will be interesting to see how the Eagles respond to a first loss since Week 2 at the Kansas City Chiefs. They certainly won't want to lose the inside track to the Number 1 Seed in the NFC and I expect a much cleaner game from the Offensive unit than we saw last week in the loss in Seattle.

The Los Angeles Rams do have an impressive looking Defensive unit, but it isn't one that should make the Eagles doubt what has carried them to this position. I fully expect the Eagles to lean on the running game with plenty of options to carry the ball and they should have success moving the chains against a Rams Defensive Line that has given up 122 yards per game on the ground at 4.7 yards per carry this season with those numbers actually looking worse in recent weeks.

Establishing the run opens up the rest of the playbook for the Offense and Carson Wentz has shown plenty of poise at Quarter Back and I expect he bounces back from a disappointing Week 13 outing. Running the ball has just eased the pass rush that Wentz faces and I think the Philadelphia Offensive Line has protected him well enough even after Jason Peters was lost at Left Tackle.

That should see the Eagles moving the chains throughout the game and I think the only potential letdown will be making the mistakes which cost them in Seattle.

Los Angeles have been very much all about the improvement on the Offensive side of the ball and they will feel they can have success in this one too. It is vital they can get Todd Gurley going on the ground, although recent games suggest the Rams are going to struggle with the pure running game against this Eagles Defensive Line and instead they may look to make quick passes to Gurley to try and get the ball into the hands of one of their playmakers.

However struggling to run the ball the conventional way will mean the Eagles can get their Defensive Line to pin their ears back and get after Jared Goff who is still likely going to be missing Robert Woods in the passing game. The Rams protection has broken down at times and the Eagles can get to Goff and force him to hurry throws into a Secondary who have been strong playing the pass and able to create turnovers.

Home field is an advantage for the Rams but not a critical one and I can't have the Eagles going from a strong favourite in Seattle to an underdog in Los Angeles. The sharps look to be agreeing with the spread shrinking since the opening line and I like the Eagles with the points in this one too.

I think the Eagles are the superior team on both sides of the ball and they won't make the mistakes that cost them in Seattle. Staying out on the West Coast will have helped Philadelphia and I think they bounce back against a good Rams team, but one that hasn't had the stand out wins on the record to really give me full confidence in them.


Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers Pick: I have stated before how you don't want to be backing the Pittsburgh Steelers as the favourite in a primetime game as there tends to be some strange goings on in those games. That is especially the case when the Steelers are being backed by the public, but this week the Baltimore Ravens look like a public underdog and the sharp money looks to have come in on the Steelers.

Before I go any further, I just have to say I am thinking about Ryan Shazier who suffered a terrible injury in the win over Cincinnati on Monday Night Football. Shazier is going to be out for the long-term at the very least, but he may not play Football again and that's just terrible for the young man.

Hopefully Shazier makes a full recovery and becomes the dominant Linebacker he was developing into.

It is hard to know how the Pittsburgh Steelers players will respond to seeing one of their brothers go down in the way Shazier did, and I just hope this game doesn't go the same way as the one with the Bengals which was punctuated by some ugly hits. Juju-Smith Schuster has been suspended one game for a hit he delivered followed by taunting, and it was a game that was hard to watch.

The Steelers have a lot on the line this week as they look to win the AFC North and keep themselves in a position to earn the Number 1 Seed in the AFC. It is no less an important game for the Baltimore Ravens who are in the mix for a Wild Card spot in the AFC and likely need an upset somewhere down the line to make sure of that.

Baltimore would love to get that here, but they are likely going to need their best Offensive outing of the season to do that. Alex Collins is banged up at Running Back and may not take part and the Ravens are going to find it difficult to run the ball against this Pittsburgh Defensive Line who have been strong up front for much of the season.

It is important for Pittsburgh to keep Joe Flacco in third and long spots because the Quarter Back and the Baltimore passing game have struggled all season. They have had a lot of difficulties connecting with the deep ball and converting third and long would be a big test for them, even if Mike Wallace would love to remind the Steelers fans of his talents.

Running the ball won't be any easier for the Pittsburgh Steelers despite having Le'Veon Bell at Running Back and that is down to the impact Brandon Williams has up front for the Ravens. Since his return to the Defensive Line, Baltimore have been stout against the run and Bell's biggest impact may be as a Receiver coming out of the backfield.

Williams' return has also meant the Ravens have been able to get after the Quarter Back with a lot of success while keeping teams in third and long and trying to convert those opportunities. The Ravens know it can be tough to bring down Ben Roethlisberger, but I expect them get around him and Baltimore would have seen some of the errant throws the Quarter Back has made when faced with pressure.

Unfortunately for Baltimore Jimmy Smith has been lost for the season at Corner Back and so there should be more holes in the Secondary for Big Ben to try and exploit. The Ravens have been able to turn the ball over, but they have allowed 240 yards per game over their last three games when facing Brett Hundley, Tom Savage and Matt Stafford and Roethlisberger is arguably better than all three.

Antonio Brown, Martavis Bryant and Le'Veon Bell should be able to make the plays to keep the chains moving and I like the Steelers while the public money is on the underdog.

Games between Pittsburgh and Baltimore have historically been close, but the Steelers won by 17 on the road earlier this season. I simply don't know if Flacco can keep up with Roethlisberger with this game potentially developing into a shoot out, while the Steelers have covered in their last four games against a team with a winning record.

Baltimore have been playing well, but I don't think they are as good as the record may indicate and I will look for Pittsburgh to win this and cover the spread.


New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Pick: If Vegas has had a bad weekend it might not be the best idea to be on the big road favourite on Monday Night Football especially when the public are backing the New England Patriots like they are printing money. In recent years the Patriots travelling to the Miami Dolphins would have been a real test for them as they deal with the heat of South Florida, but this is an evening game and I can only see the Patriots dominating proceedings.

I am fully aware of Rob Gronkowski being out with a suspension for a ridiculous hit he put on a rookie Buffalo Corner Back, Tre'Davious White, in Week 13. The NFL should have had a much tougher punishment, but they are already out of favour with those in New England and wouldn't dare suspend Gronk for the big AFC clash with Pittsburgh coming in Week 15.

Even without Gronkowski the Patriots should be able to move the chains with effectiveness for much of the evening. This is a team who has won a Super Bowl without their top Tight End after all and as long as Tom Brady is behind Center you would favour the Patriots to find the right plays in the majority of games they play.

Tom Brady will lean on Dion Lewis and Rex Burkhead at Running Back in this one and both players along with James White are more than capable of lining up in the slot and catching passes. The Miami Dolphins do have a strong Defensive Line, but there have been games when they have given up big yards on the ground and the New England Offensive Line has been bullying teams up front.

The Dolphins have to get to Tom Brady and at least make him feel uncomfortable in the pocket, but this is a team who have been inconsistent with their effort at times and if they can't stop the run it is going to be a long day for them. Brady still has enough weapons to stretch the field and I don't think New England will be using the Punter too many times in this Monday Night Football game.

Miami at least come in with some confidence having blown out the Denver Broncos in Week 13, but that might have been a game that Head Coach Adam Gase and Quarter Back Jay Cutler wanted a lot. With the Play Offs likely gone, the Dolphins would like to spoil the New England chances of finishing with the Number 1 Seed, but asking Cutler to play two solid games in a row is a big ask.

The best chance looks to be to lean on an improved running game which has seen Miami make some solid plays on the ground since trading away Jay Ajayi who did not do what the Coaches wanted. Kenyan Drake had a huge game in Week 13 and Miami have faith in the Running Back who could replicate that considering some of the issues New England have had in stopping the run through the season.

Miami have to run the ball to have any success in this one because the Patriots have really improved in other aspects of their Defensive game. The Secondary have been playing at a high level as the Corner Backs have gotten up to speed and New England have also found an effective pass rush who should be able to get the better of this Miami Offensive Line when Jay Cutler steps back to throw.

Cutler will be fine in third and short, but anything other than that and the Patriots will feel they can win the battles and perhaps force the Quarter Back into a couple of terrible throws which seem to be the norm for Cutler. Turnovers have been a key for the improving New England Defensive unit and I can see them creating a couple which helps them win this game once Miami have to throw the ball to keep up.

The Patriots won by 21 points here last season and have beaten Miami by 18 at home a couple of weeks ago. Miami are 0-8 against the spread in their last eight on Monday Night Football and they have been beaten by 40 and 21 points in their last couple of primetime games this season.

I mentioned last week how well New England have begun to play against the spread and they have a very high covering rate over the last few seasons. Even when given big numbers the Patriots have been dominant including covering 16.5 points in the home win over Miami two weeks ago and they are 10-1 against the spread in their last eleven against a team with a losing record.

It might be close, but I will look for the New England Patriots to win this one by a couple of Touchdowns as Jay Cutler perhaps throws a couple of INTs to end the Miami comeback attempts.

MY PICKS: Cleveland Browns + 3.5 Points @ 1.85 Ladbrokes (2 Units)
Oakland Raiders + 4 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
Dallas Cowboys - 3.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Denver Broncos + 1 Point @ 1.95 Paddy Power (2 Units)
Philadelphia Eagles + 1.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet Victor (2 Units)
Pittsburgh Steelers - 4.5 Points @ 1.91 Bet365 (2 Units)
New England Patriots - 10.5 Points @ 1.91 Ladbrokes (2 Units)

Boxing Picks 2017- Vasyl Lomachenko vs Guillermo Rigondeaux (December 9th)

Boxing has been criticised in recent years for not making the big fights the fans want to see, but Saturday night is one for the purists.

This is the first time two time Olympic Gold Medal winners will face one another in the Professional ranks and it has all the makings of one of the most intriguing fights in recent years.

However the purists can't fill out seats like the casuals can once they get behind a boxer and that means Vasyl Lomachenko and Guillermo Rigondeaux have to settle for the smaller Arena at Madison Square Garden. I would love to have been in New York to attend this fight, but it will have to be recorded and caught up with on Sunday morning.

It is a long night of Boxing which begins in London and the return of James DeGale after being out of the ring for the best part of eleven months, while Stephen Smith challenges for a World Title in Las Vegas as he takes on tough Franisco Vargas.

It should be a good night highlighted by the Lomachenko-Rigondeaux fight.


Daniel Dubois vs Dorian Darch
It might be irritating to Daniel Dubois that he is being compared with Anthony Joshua all of the time, but he may want a word with Frank Warren who continues to link the two unbeaten British Heavyweights together.

Dubois is still a novice in terms of experience, but he has had some strong sparring sessions with the top Heavyweights in the United Kingdom including openly telling the media that he has knocked down Joshua in sparring.

That coupled with his strong start to the professional career has the fans beginning to get excited about Dubois and what he is able to do in the Heavyweight ranks. The destruction of AJ Carter was really impressive and there is no doubting the power Dubois has.

However he won't be able to escape the comparison with Anthony Joshua when taking on Dorian Darch who was stopped in the Second Round by the current Heavyweight Champion in his fourth Professional fight. Dubois himself has stated he isn't concerned about making a statement, but you have to think he would love to get Darch out of there in the First Round, although the Welshman has shown toughness.

It took Ian Lewison Four Rounds and Eddie Chambers Three Rounds to beat Darch and there is the AJ Second Round win. You have to think Frank Warren is itching for Dubois to get this done a little quicker, but it may be worth a small interest for the young Heavyweight to match the Joshua Round.

There is no doubting the power Dubois possesses, but he is still a little raw and Darch may be able to get through the first three minutes before being tagged. Most will expect the First Round finish, but Dubois can still impress with a Second Round win and plenty of positives to take into 2018.


Francisco Vargas vs Stephen Smith
I love most of the Smith fighting brothers from Liverpool who have all achieved big things in the world of Boxing, although World Titles have mainly been a step too far. Stephen Smith gets his chance to earn a third shot on Saturday in Las Vegas having lost to Jason Sosa and Jose Pedraza in World Title shots before and even Smith himself has suggested this may be his last chance.

It could be argued that Francisco Vargas is the toughest opponent Smith has faced since Lee Selby, but the Mexican is coming in off a brutal loss. Vargas has also been through a really difficult run of fights and at 32 years old you do have to wonder how much is left in the tank.

We have seen before that these dogfights can break a fighter and see all the Rounds catch up with them very quickly and unexpectedly. That has to be Smith's best hope as he will try and box the bigger man, but I am struggling to see how the Liverpudlian can hold off the aggressive Vargas throughout this fight.

Vargas is taller, has the bigger reach and he will feel he can break down Smith the longer the fight wears on and that is my feeling for how it will play out. Smith has only ever been stopped by Lee Selby, but he was down early in the World Title loss to Sosa and late in the loss to Pedraza.

I think Vargas hits harder than both and I feel he will be able to pounce on Smith in the second half of the fight once he hurts him. Smith will be brave and it may take his corner to decide the outcome, but I will back Vargas to score the second half stoppage.


Orlando Salido vs Miguel Roman
When two Mexicans enter the ring to face one another you can already guess it will be a high intensity dogfight from pretty much the opening seconds of the fight. I doubt Orlando Salido vs Miguel Roman goes any other way and it could be a lot of fun for the fans tuning in.

Salido remains the only fighter to put a blemish on the resume of Vasyl Lomachenko and there was a real feeling that those two would have a rematch this month. Instead Lomachenko looked for a career defining fight with Guillermo Rigondeaux although I am sure Salido will be looking for that rematch if both fighters win on Saturday.

He can't overlook Miguel Roman who has been in with some tough company too and will be hoping that an upset of Salido opens up some big fights for himself at the Super-Featherweight Division.

It does feel like Salido is a step too high for Roman who has plenty of wins behind in recent years, but who was beaten by Takashi Miura, a tough Japanese fighter of a similar standing to Salido.

Salido has the size advantage and the tougher Rounds behind him which can prove to be a critical determining factor when things do get tough. It should be a lot of fun however long it lasts, but Salido has been speaking like he wants to make a real statement here and I think he will be coming out swinging looking for the stoppage.

After an intense battle Salido may get a chance to get that as the fight goes on although the obvious pick is the veteran winning by a wide points margin. I just think he is trying to prove he is still amongst the elite and will want to match Miura by stopping Roman and that could be the outcome later in the fight.


Vasyl Lomachenko vs Guillermo Rigondeaux
This is an absolute monster fight in the world of Boxing but you wouldn't know it by the limited mainstream media that will likely cover the fight.

However for all Boxing fans around the globe this is a chance to find out who the best of the lighter weights is and the man who may be put at the top of any 'Pound for Pound' list being compiled after Saturday.

Both Vasyl Lomachenko and Guillermo Rigondeaux have been quality amateur fighters with two Gold Medals won at Olympic Games before turning pro. Only one fighter has got the better of Lomachenko, while Rigondeaux is unbeaten, but what these two have achieved i the professional ranks with limited fights under their belts has been pretty amazing to see.

Out of the two Lomachenko has been more active and has some real quality wins in the last couple of years. While Rigondeaux has made easy work of anyone he has faced, he too has a couple of real quality wins under his belt although the inactivity and going up a couple of weight classes really does go against him.

The Cuban has had just three Rounds completed in two years compared with Lomachenko who has had five fights and beaten the likes of Roman Martinez and Nicolas Walters in that time.

The styles should match up nicely with the Rigondeaux defensive masterclass going up against Lomachenko's ability to attack from all angles and wear down fighters to the point that they can't even get up off their stool to complete fights. It is going to be so much fun to see how these two adapt to each other, but I am leaning towards Lomachenko having the heavier consistent shots and being the naturally bigger man at this weight.

For all the skills Rigondeaux has displayed, he has been knocked down by Nonito Donaire and Hasashi Amagasi in a couple of his stand out fights. At this weight I do wonder if he is going to be able to take the same type of shots and I think Lomachenko has shown he has the cumulative effect to wear down opponents which may be how he comes through this one.

The other factor is that Rigondeaux may have to be more aggressive than he is used to in this fight which could lead to mistakes in the second half of the contest. Usually he has dominated the early Rounds to build a lead, but if he can't do that against Lomachenko then the pressure will be on Rigondeaux to change his style and try and take the fight to the Ukrainian.

Being out of the comfort zone is tough for any boxer and I think that is where Rigondeaux will come unstuck. No one should criticise him for the chance he has taken to take on Lomachenko, but I think the younger and bigger man can find a way to stop another opponent.

The last six fighters Lomachenko has faced have been stopped with the last three retiring on their stools. I don't believe Rigondeaux will allow himself to quit, but I do worry about his inactivity and the referee may be forced to step in late in this contest to allow Lomachenko to pick up another stoppage win.

MY PICKS: Daniel Dubois Win Second Round @ 4.00 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Francisco Vargas Win Between 6-10 @ 3.10 Sky Bet (1 Unit)
Orlando Salido Win by KO, TKO or Disqualification @ 3.75 Bet365 (1 Unit)
Vasyl Lomachenko Win Between 7-12 @ 3.20 Ladbrokes (1 Unit)
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